Monthly Archives: January 2010

Rounding the Bases: Sheets, Damon, Thome etc

MlbHlSqIt’s now less than three weeks until the first day on which pitchers and catchers can report to Spring Training (18 February) and it’s just 64 days until Opening Day. 

Much of the winter offseason is now behind us and we now know where a lot of the 09/10 free agents will be playing this season; however there are still some more-than-useful players waiting to find a club.  Johnny Damon and Pedro Martinez were playing in the World Series last October and they don’t yet know where they will need to report for Spring Training.  You can add the likes of Orlando Hudson, Carlos Delgado, Jermaine Dye, Erik Bedard and Jarrod Washburn to that list as well, although a number of players did sign deals over the past week.  Continue reading

Web Pick of the week: Various on defensive stats

Web-PickI’m cheating a bit this week as I’m not so much offering a Web Pick, but a collection of them on the same topic. Most baseball fans are well aware that the established stats used to evaluate defence, fielding percentage and errors, don’t tell you very much about how good (or bad) someone really is.  You can hazard a guess that a player who amasses lots of errors is probably not too slick with the leather, but that’s about it. 

Offering much more than broad generalizations with fielding stats does seem to be a tricky task.  There are so many variables on any given play that, as a fan rather than a statistical analyst, my preconception is that creating reliable statistics is always going to be a major challenge.  Even something as simple as a second baseman fielding a grounder depends on lots of factors.  For example: how hard was the ball hit, was the ball’s bounce affected by spin or a bad hop, how much was the player’s ability to field the ball affected by his initial positioning (good or bad) and who was responsible for that (e.g. was the play made easier because the second baseman’s manager had instructed him to stand a few yards to the right of where he would normally)? 

It’s a major challenge, but clearly it’s one well worth taking on because getting a better idea of a fielder’s ability is crucial to General Managers and very interesting to most of us fans.  MLB.com helpfully provided an article about the latest defensive stats earlier this month and included a separate page containing “a quick primer on four of the newest defensive statistics”.  They’re a good starting point for anyone interested in the topic. 

The MLB.com article specifically refers to the importance that the Red Sox and Mariners are giving to defence and Geoff Baker of the Seattle Times posted a fascinating blog about the M’s and defensive stats just before 2009 became 2010.  I particularly liked the bit about Jason Bay’s defence in left, noting that “while baseball insiders will pretty much agree that Bay is no Endy Chavez as a left fielder, there is little agreement on how bad he actually is”.  No single statistic, or even a group of statistics, is going to conclusively answer that question, but that can be said of most things.  Let’s face it, if different surgeons can look at MRI scans of Bay’s knees and shoulder and come to different conclusions on his physical condition, working out precisely how the Green Monster affected his defence is going to be just as open to different interpretations.

Those different interpretations, and different stats, are exactly what makes these discussions/arguments so much fun for us fans, although General Managers that have to make decisions about the spending of millions of dollars might welcome a bit more certainty.

MLB.TV 2010 prices are announced

CovHlSqMLB.com has released the 2010 subscription prices for MLB.TV and MLB.TV Premium today.  A subscription service once again looks like being the only way to listen to/watch MLB this season here in the UK as no free-to-air TV deal appears forthcoming.  Brits will welcome the early announcement of MLB.com’s offerings, allowing plenty of pre-season time to consider the options available (subscribing to ESPN America being the ‘TV’ choice).  

Here are the prices for the annual ‘video’ subscriptions, based on the exchange rate as it stands today:

MLB.TV Premium – £74 ($119.95)
MLB.TV – £61.60 ($99.95)  Continue reading

MLB announces start times for opening games to the 2010 season

MLB has announced “tentative game times for the 2010 regular-season schedule”.  As noted previously, the opening weekend coincides perfectly with the Easter Bank Holiday for us.  Here’s the British Summer Time starts (subject to change …) for the opening games of all 30 MLB teams.

Sunday 4 April (Monday 5 for us)

01.05 a.m. – Yankees @ Red Sox

As always, that’s the ESPN Sunday Night game so it will be broadcast on ESPN America here, as well as being available via subscription on MLB.com.  There’s no news (or even any decent rumours) on MLB returning to free-to-air TV, I’m afraid.  Continue reading

Book Review: Play Ball. 100 Baseball Practice Games by Tom O’Connell

Play Ball: 100 Baseball Practice Games by Tom O’Connell (Human Kinetics, 2010), 226 pages

Many baseball teams in Britain, whether adults or youths, are working hard at their indoor training sessions right now, with ‘Spring Training’ just around the corner, albeit not quite in the Arizona or Florida climate enjoyed by Major Leaguers Stateside. Often it’s in the preseason period that teams have the most time to develop their skills and coaches are busy trying to find new ways to organize training sessions that are both useful and enjoyable.  If a quick glance at the coaching manuals on your bookshelves makes you long for a new source of inspiration, ‘Play Ball’ may provide it.

Tom O’Connell is a well-respected baseball coach with years of experience.  The sum of that experience is what prompted him to write a new coaching manual:

“Through the years of clinics and hot-stove discussions, one thought kept irritating me. Why is it that at practice we work on drill after drill after drill, our players master the drills and look better and better, but they keep making the same mistakes in games? Maybe, I thought, they are just getting better at doing drills”.  In O’Connell’s eyes, coaches have got into the habit of teaching, when their objective should be to facilitate learning. 

 ‘Play Ball’ is designed to help you do just that.  Continue reading

The Media and McGwire

As you will probably know, former ESPN writer Peter Gammons is now a part of the MLB Network and has begun writing columns for MLB.com.  Gammons is deservedly recognised as one of the best baseball writers around and his addition to the MLB website is great news for those of us not quite willing to shell out more baseball-related money for an ESPN Insider subscription.  Mind you, MLB.com should give some thought as to how they highlight the writing of Gammons and other columnists (such as Hal Bodley) because currently their offerings are difficult to find unless they are a headline article.

Anyway, the reason I mention Gammons is that upon reading his latest column about Mark McGwire’s return to the MLB fold as a hitting instructor for the Cardinals, I was left with one unanswered question.  Gammons contends that McGwire’s presence at Spring Training is going to be a major disruption for the Cardinals and that it could even overshadow the sport as a whole.  As he puts it:

“Instead of looking forward to the first glimpses of Tim Lincecum, Zack Greinke, Roy Halladay and Cliff Lee, the opening shot of the 2010 season is going to be McGwire in his Cardinals uniform with the other coaches or in the batting cages or watching pitchers take batting practice”.

My question is: if that turns out to be true, who is driving this story?  Continue reading

Rounding the Bases: Arbitration and Multi-year deals

MlbHlSqThere were no major free agent deals signed and we didn’t have a steroid confession from one of the biggest stars of the last 20 years, so compared to the previous week the last seven days might seem uneventful.

However, that isn’t the impression you would get if you looked at the list of transactions that have taken place.  The last week or so has been dominated by contract negotiations between teams and players who are eligible for arbitration.  128 players filed for arbitration on Friday 15th and arbitration figures had to be filed on Tuesday 19th.  

‘Arbitration’ is the process by which players who have between three to six years of Major League service time negotiate their salary for the upcoming season with their current club.  They are joined by some of the players who have between two and three years of service time (the top 17 per cent in terms of the amount of service time accumulated) and also any players who would have been free agents had they not accepted an offer of arbitration from their previous team (there were just two this year: Carl Pavano and Rafael Betancourt).  Continue reading

Web Pick: Tony Massarotti on how Red Sox pitchers work the strike zone

Web-PickThis week’s Web Pick is one of the articles that encouraged me to launch this new weekly feature.  I stumbled across the highlighted blog post by Tony Massarotti, writer at the Boston Globe, back in July and added it to my Bookmarks while making a mental note to post a link to it here at some point.  A fitting opportunity to do just that didn’t arise at the time and so the bookmark was left on the list, occasionally catching my eye and reminding me that I still hadn’t passed it on.

So, thanks to the Web Pick feature, now I will.

While specifically it is an article about the approaches taken by several Red Sox pitchers, more generally it provides a fascinating insight into the cunning craft of a pitcher and the game-within-a-game that takes place between a pitcher and a batter in every at-bat.  Any feature that takes the reader into the complexity of the game on the field is always likely to win my favour because I believe they are an invaluable part of convincing sceptical Brits to appreciate baseball.

Every sport can be boiled down to a simple description that threatens to make it seem almost devoid of any skill and interest.  Football might be seen by some people as just two teams kicking a bag of wind around, just as rugby could be dismissed as people chucking an oval ball about while trying to whack into each other.  Such comments are normally spat out by people deliberately trying to belittle the sport in question and the ‘glorified rounders’ description that plagues baseball in this country is a pointed example.  The power of these comments is that there is a kernal of truth to them.  From the uninformed standpoint of a complete newcomer, baseball does look like a version of the game played at school with a short wooden bat and poles for bases.  We all know that baseball is so much more than that and to convince others of this, we have to educate them (if they want to be educated, that is). 

Like all the best things in life, baseball appeals to both your head and your heart. The drama of a game-changing home run or the balletic beauty of a perfectly-turned double play are self-evident: they can quickly grab the heart of any willing person.  The underlying skill and tactics involved in a ballgame need a bit more explaining so that they can be fully appreciated, just as the cunning of a spin bowler is not obvious to someone who doesn’t know the way variations in line, length, flight, speed and type of delivery can be used to outwit a batsman in cricket. 

Massarotti’s article provides a great explanation of how pitchers work the strike zone with different pitches, a piece that should be interesting and informative to baseball newcomers and established converts alike.

Scorecards in action: Red Sox vs Rays, 3 May 2009

keeping_score_200x225Last week, we looked at a completed ‘IBAF style’ scorecard from a game in which the Oakland A’s Brett Anderson got the better of Boston.  The Red Sox take centre stage again this week and it’s in a losing effort once more.  However, the reasons for choosing this game did not include any anti-Boston sentiment.  It was chosen because of Carl Crawford’s record-tying performance and its usefulness in highlighting a few scoring plays not included in the previous example.

The Tampa Bay Rays won the game 5-3 and, despite conceding a run in the first inning, looked comfortable winners through most of the contest.  Kevin Youkilis hit a two-run homer in the top of the eighth to make things interesting at 4-3, but the Rays immediately fought back in the bottom of the inning to make the score 5-3 and Troy Percival pitched a three up, three down inning in the ninth to seal the victory. 

A scan of my completed scorecard can be accessed as a pdf here. 

Sometimes it isn’t until you start totting up the totals on your scorecard at the end of a game that you notice some of the quirks.  There were only three pop-ups throughout, noted down using the non-IBAF approved ‘P’, which seems a little low and maybe suggests something about the way the two starters, James Shields and Brad Penny, pitched.  It then struck me that I hadn’t needed to use the IBAF double-play notation at all.  My preconception is that there aren’t many games during the Majors that don’t include at least one double play, although perhaps it happens more frequently than I think.  It wasn’t something picked up as a notable event in any of the game reports I’ve read.

Call the police!

The lack of DPs, and possibly the lack of any mention of the lack of DPs, was due predominantly to an incredible bout of base-stealing.  Nine bags were swiped in all.  Dustin Pedroia, Jason Bartlett and Michel Hernandez all got one each while Jacoby Ellsbury, who memorably stole home against the Yankees during the 2009 season, was caught trying to steal second in the second inning.  Yet the man of the day was the Rays’ Carl Crawford.  He stole six bases, tying the Major League record for most stolen bases in a single game.

Scorecards are a great way to see very quickly how a player performed in each of his plate appearances during the game, providing more info than a box score can convey (and, as any baseball fan knows, box scores do tell you an awful lot).  Crawford’s batting row on page two reveals when and where he stole each of his six bases and they make for interesting reading.

When base-stealing causes errors (and when it doesn’t)

Crawford made his intentions clear right from the off in the first inning, when he reached first base via a walk and then stole second.  The disorientating effect his running had on the Red Sox is shown by the error against Jason Varitek and it’s a good play to look at in detail from a score-keeping perspective.  The line that links the second base ‘box’ and the third base ‘box’ indicates that the two events were part of the same overall play: Crawford ran to second base, Varitek tried to throw him out, the ball sailed past the person covering the bag allowing Crawford to head on to third base. 

It was a play that made me grab for my copy of the IBAF scoring manual just to be clear on the rules and the notation needed.  It’s fairly well known that an error is not charged against a catcher if his wild throw, which would normally be an error, allows a base runner to reach the base he is attempting to steal.  In that situation, the event is credited to the base-stealer rather than put as a mark against the catcher.  However, if a bad throw allows the base-stealer to move on from the base he stole, that has to go down against the catcher because the runner is simply profiting from the other player’s mistake.  The notation in this case is ‘e2T’.  Broken down, this means:

  • ‘e’ -  it was an extra base error.  As stated last week, a lower case ‘e’ is used for an error that allows a base runner to advance an additional base, whereas a capital ‘E’ is used for a decisive error: one that would have led to an out had the error not been committed.
  • ‘2’ – the error is by the catcher, whose fielding position number is always 2
  • ‘T’ – a capital T denotes that it was a throwing error.  An ‘F’ is used if the fielder makes an error dropping a fly ball (as Scott Hairston did in last week’s example), while no additional letter is used if the error is committed while trying to catch/field a ball.

When did he steal that base?

Carlos Pena’s single brought home Crawford from third base to tie the game at 1-1, but he was left stranded in scoring position in his next two times on base, during which he stole three bases combined.  His two stolen bases in the fifth inning provide a good example of why it’s useful to note down when each base was stolen.  Crawford led off the inning with a single to right field (the ‘9’ is used to show that the hit went in the direction of the right fielder: position number 9) and he then stole second while Evan Longoria, who was batting third in the lineup – hence the ‘SB3’ notation, was at the plate.  Longoria then struck out and when Pena flied out to shallow right field(*), Crawford decided to get himself to third and give Pat Burrell (batting fifth – therefore the stolen base is noted as ‘SB5’) a chance to bring him home with two outs.  Unfortunately, ‘Pat the Bat’ kept his bat on his shoulder as strike three went past to end the inning.

(* – I noted earlier that there were only three pop-ups in the game. Some would have noted this out as a pop-up as it was caught by the second baseman, Pedroia; however I thought a ‘fly out’ was more appropriate as he had to go out into shallow right field to make the catch.  Those are the sort of decisions you can make when scoring as a fan: noting things down in the way that makes most sense to you).

Long night for Longoria

Crawford stole two more bases to take his total to six and you’ll notice that five of those steals were made when Longoria (‘3’) was at the plate.  The scorecard neatly shows that Crawford got himself into scoring position in each of Longoria’s five plate appearances and the third baseman was unable to bring him home on any occasion.  He made an out on three of those occasions, but couldn’t be blamed for the other two.  in the first inning, Longoria was hit by a pitch.  In the seventh, he hit a single to right but Crawford had to stop at third.  Manny Delcarmen, who had just been brought in as relief after Penny’s six-inning outing, then hit Carlos Pena to load the bases and followed this by plunking Burrell, bringing Crawford home.  That capped off an extraordinary game for Carl.

Sacrifice Hits

One final notation to highlight is Michel Hernandez’s sacrifice bunt in the eighth inning.  While I, and most other people, would refer to it as a sacrifice bunt, the IBAF scoring method calls it a sacrifice hit.  I’m not sure why, but that’s how it is.  You can either have a sacrifice hit (SH, followed by the details of how it was fielder – in this case the first baseman Youkilis fielded it and throwed the ball to the second baseman Pedroia who was covering first base) or a sacrifice fly (SF).  No bunts are allowed!

 

In some respects this was an easy game to score because there were no batting or fielding substitutions to note down (as opposed to last week’s example).  Still, it was a good way to brush up on the notations and rules for stolen bases, errors and sacrifices, not to mention being an historic and enjoyable game to watch.  If you’ve got any comments about the scorecard, please pass them on below.

Book Review: The Hardball Times Baseball Annual 2010

The Hardball Times Baseball Annual 2010 produced by Dave Studenmund (Acta Sports, 2009), 368 pages

The lack of actual games can make the baseball offseason seem a depressing period, but in some ways it makes for a nice breather after a long season.  Away from the unrelenting schedule, there’s more time to sit back and think about the sport, to ponder how the season played out, delve into the sport’s history and be fascinated by new research.  What’s more, the folks at the Hardball Times website conjure up an annual that allows you to do all of these things from the starting point of a single book.

Most baseball annuals seem to be largely focused on the fantasy baseball crowd these days.  That’s a big market to aim at, of course, but it doesn’t make for books that you are likely to come back to in future years.  The Hardball Times deals with this by issuing two books: a season preview for the fantasy crowd and an annual ‘review’ that has a longer-lasting appeal.  The annual follows a standard format every year: a review of every division, a commentary section based on the season just gone and other topics of interest, a history section, an analysis section full of research articles and a lengthy statistics section to round everything off.  Continue reading