Monthly Archives: December 2010

A-Rod and Bagwell

I’ve created a page, accessible from the menu bar, that brings together my division reviews from the 2010 MLB season.

As with any article or series, I sat down at the start of it and wrote some notes to collect my thoughts together on the key things that I remembered from the 2010 season for each team.  I then went through the stats (Baseball-Reference.com etc) and undertook some other research to see if I had misremembered anything or if any relevant points had slipped my memory completely.

I logged on to MLB.com just now to see if any news stories had broken over the past couple of days.   Brandon Webb’s possible signing with the Texas Rangers is the only notable news that I picked up on, but there was another story that really caught my eye.  It’s title is “A-Rod’s historic blast a 2010 highlight”.

Rodriguez’s 600th career home run didn’t make my review of the Yankees’ season for the simple reason that I forgot that it had happened.

Reading the story now calls to mind the lead-up to the event more than the event itself.   When you know something is almost certain to happen, the anticipation of it can often be more dramatic than the actual moment that eventually occurs.  Forty-seven at-bats passed between Rodriguez’s 599th and 600th home runs.  Every time he stepped up to the plate could have been the moment when he joined that elite group.  The pressure started to grow as every homer-less at-bat passed and while the law of averages suggested that it was only a matter of time, it reached the point where the inevitable didn’t seem so inevitable after all.

And that was just from the perspective as a baseball fan.  It must have been ten times more frustrating for Rodriguez.  Achievements that are so long in the making are less met by joy than by sheer relief.  As the YES Network’s Michael Kay put it: “the milestone that became a millstone is now officially a milestone”.

With one swing of the bat, Rodriguez achieved something that only six other players in the history of the sport have done.  Frankly, it’s a bit embarrassing that I didn’t remember such a rare moment just four months removed from it, but it says as much about A-Rod’s standing, and the era in which he has played, than it does about my forgetfulness.

Rodriguez’s home-run achievements, for hitting 600 is unlikely to be the last historic shot to leave his bat, will always be clouded by his admission of steroid use between 2001 and 2003.  It’s a cloud that not only dims the shining light of apparent success but also carries anaesthetic qualities.  The excitement and wonder of ‘600’ doesn’t seem quite so exciting and wonderful.

Even if he hadn’t made that statement, or more precisely been forced by circumstances to make that statement, suspicion would have still lingered.  That’s something all players of the last decade or so have to deal with, fairly or not.

That was highlighted by another article on MLB.com: Peter Gammons eloquently stating Jeff Bagwell’s case for being elected into the Hall of Fame.  It would be interesting to read a fellow writer that hasn’t put Bagwell on their ballot responding to Gammons’ piece because his argument appears very hard to dispute.

Bagwell’s numbers are Hall of Fame worthy.  If you wanted to downplay them due to a suspicion of steroid use that has no proof behind it, the negative effect of hitting in the Astrodome would arguably counterbalance any perceived ‘advantage’ Bagwell might have gained over players from different eras.  If you still wanted to count these suspicions against him on a ‘cheater’ argument, again you come up against the fact that there’s no proof he did cheat and also the fact that the Hall of Fame isn’t a paragon of virtue and innocence anyway.

Add in the intangible qualities that voters have every right to factor into their criteria for a Hall of Fame candidate (rather than, say, a Hall of Performance candidate), such as  playing the game ‘the right way’ and being acknowledged as one of the leading talents when he played, then Bagwell deserves the call at his first time of eligibility.  The current line of thinking is that this will not happen due to the uncertainty caused by the period in which he played.

My ‘slight’ against Rodriguez’s achievement was a genuine act of forgetfulness, but it is also indicative of my casual opinion towards it.  The potential non-election of Bagwell to the Hall of Fame (at the first attempt, at least) would be a calculated decision based on a general argument, rather than a considered evaluation of his career.

Both cases show the continuing impact that the ‘steroid era’ has on our perception of recent performances. It’s a shame in some ways, but also adds another layer of interest to the endless debates baseball fans of all ages have about achievements and careers.

Countdown to SABR Day 2011: 1940s Cobbette – What became of WWII evacuees returning from US?

Cobbette-(128x128)This is post six in a ten-post countdown to SABR Day 2011. The series is going through the decades of the 20th Century, backwards from the 1990s. On SABR Day itself, there will be a special feature on the 1890s, which will celebrate the significant link between keeping score and baseball history. This article will be published at 05:00 British time in order to coincide with the start of the day in the time-zone of the Cleveland-based SABR office. To view all the Cobbettes published to date, click here.

Continue reading

Merry Christmas!

It’s Christmas time once again. 

Brewers fans had their main present a few days ago in the form of Zack Greinke, while Phillies fans got an unexpected early treat in the form of the returning Cliff Lee.  Other teams have picked up useful players along the way as well (my A’s acquiring Hideki ‘Godzilla’ Matsui, for example) and if you’re still waiting for a present or two (fans of the two New York teams would fall into that category), fear not as they may arrive in the new year.

A bit like the thousands of presents ordered online that are currently stuck in transit.

Part of the appeal of Christmas is that it gives you a chance to look back at the last year with friends and family.  2010 was another very enjoyable year from my perspective as editor of this website.  It was a great year of action in MLB and in the British leagues, although the Great Britain national story didn’t turn out quite as well as we all hoped, and that made writing about it all the more fun.

My personal highlights were starting a regular column focusing on British baseball, which seemed to go down well, and making my national media debut on BBC 5 Live.  It was broadcast at five to seven on a Sunday morning and the presenter bungled the website name (“Baseball UK, umm …. GB!”), but it was a nice bit of recognition for the website anyway.

Thanks to all who have contributed comments or who have passed by over the past year.  I wish you a very merry Christmas and a happy new year (full of baseball, of course).

Cheers!

New British baseball history book: “What about the Villa?: Forgotten figures from Britain’s pro baseball league of 1890”

watvDuring 2010, my posts on BaseballGB have been a little fewer and further between than I would have liked, but there has been a good reason. For the past 14 months, I have been researching and writing a 100,000-word history of Britain’s pro baseball league of 1890. The result was my first book.

The publisher received copies of the book on Friday (after a slight delay caused by the snow we’ve had), and it went on sale today. It is being sold directly by the publisher, Fineleaf Editions.

Continue reading

Zack Greinke to the Brewers

This was an unexpected story to wake up to this Sunday morning.  Bernie’s Crew blog was reporting that the Milwaukee Brewers had agreed a trade with the Kansas City Royals in which Zack Greinke, the 2009 American League Cy Young winner, will head to the Brew Crew.

I picked up the story via Twitter over breakfast and was struck by the lack of any comment from the usual Hot Stove sources: Buster Olney of ESPN, Ken Rosenthal of Fox, Jon Heyman of Sports Illustrated, and MLB Trade Rumours.  Those guys don’t miss much, which put the story into a bit of doubt. 

That doubt was even fuelled by the original story.  While the title stated “Report: Brewers Acquire Zack Greinke”, the opening paragraph was a disclaimer:

“**Disclaimer:  This is a rumor that has not yet been confirmed from within the organization, but I feel comfortable enough with the information and the source to publish this rumor.  Please just keep in mind that this is only a rumor and should be treated as such until further notice.**”

Jim Breen, the blog’s author, felt confident enough in his source to put his blogging neck on the line and it now looks like his instinct was correct.

In fairness to Olney, Rosenthal, Heyman and their ilk, this story came out late on Saturday night U.S. time.  When I looked at it this British morning, those guys would have been asleep (in fact this proves that they do sleep, which was in some doubt beforehand.  They often seem so ubiquitous that I thought they lived in a 24 hour, coffee-fuelled existence).

Peter Gammons tweeted about twenty minutes ago that the deal is in place pending a medical. In between checking MLB.com just before starting to write this and checking it again just now, the story has become the main feature on the official website.

So that looks official to me.  That’s a great scoop for Jim Breen and the Bernie’s Crew blog and a fantastic deal for the Brewers.

Greinke will join Yovani Gallardo, Randy Wolf and the newly-acquired Shaun Marcum to form a vastly improved rotation.  That makes me think that the Brewers will hold on to Prince Fielder now, rather than trade him with one year left on his contract.  The Brewers have given up several young players in recent days (if this Greinke deal does indeed go through without a last minute hitch), but the two first round draft picks they would get for Fielder if/when he leaves as a free agent this time next year will start the process of re-stocking the farm system.

Meanwhile, the Brewers have just greatly increased their chances of competing for a postseason spot.  Back on 28 November, I was predicting Fielder’s departure and stating: “while the NL Central is far from the deepest division, you would think only a series of significant additions would really push this team forward in 2011 and such developments do not appear to be on the horizon”.

I‘m happy to be proved wrong on that.  The 2011 NL Central race just got even more interesting.

2010 Season Review: AL East

MlbHlSqWe conclude our review of the 2010 MLB season by taking a look at the American League East.

BaseballGB predictions

Joe Yankees (WC: Red Sox)
Mark Yankees (WC: Red Sox)
Matt Yankees (WC: Red Sox)
Russ Red Sox
Steve Red Sox (WC: Yankees)

 

Tampa Bay Rays (96-66)

2010 figured to be a crucial year for the Rays.  After making the World Series in 2008, the Rays slipped back to third in the AL East in 2009, so the team was keen to prove that they were not just a one-year wonder.  The Front Office and the fans were also looking ahead to 2011 and the prospect of several key players hitting free agency, while the Rays’ payroll would reduce.

It wasn’t quite ‘now or never’; however there was a real sense that this year was a big opportunity for Tampa Bay.  Cliff Lee proved to be their downfall in the American League Division Series against the Texas Rangers, but it would be harsh to label the year as a failure.  Winning the AL East to reach the postseason was a considerable achievement in itself, something that may become even more apparent in 2011 when the Rays will have to recover from losing several players to richer teams.

Carl Crawford had a great year in 2010, but he’s recently joined division rivals the Boston Red Sox on a seven year/$142m contract that is a long way beyond the Rays’ means. Their bullpen will also be hit by free agent departures.  The Rays benefitted considerably from an excellent reliever duo in Rafael Soriano and Joaquin Benoit, yet the latter has already signed a three-year deal with the Detroit Tigers and Soriano doesn’t appear to be heading back to the Rays.  Losing key players is always a blow; losing them while you’re trying to compete with the might of the Red Sox and Yankees is potentially catastrophic.

The Rays will not be waving the white flag though.  They’ll keep on doing what has made them successful in the last couple of years: developing young talent and picking up a few useful bargains along the way.  Evan Longoria led the team in 2010 with another brilliant year at the hot corner, B.J. Upton played an excellent centre field while contributing notably with the bat, and John Jaso impressed in his rookie season.  Meanwhile former number one draft pick David Price was a Cy Young award contender. 

There’s no doubt that there’s a strong core here and the team is ably managed by Joe Maddon, the question is whether they can fill in the gaps on a budget and still go toe-to-toe with the Yankees and the re-tooled Red Sox in 2011?  The fact that this is even a question shows just how far this team has come over the past three seasons and you wouldn’t bet against them continuing to defy the odds.  Continue reading

Countdown to SABR Day 2011: 1950s Cobbette – “Brutus Plays Baseball–What Would Shakespeare Think?”

Cobbette-(128x128)This is post five in a ten-post countdown to SABR Day 2011. The series is going through the decades of the 20th Century, backwards from the 1990s. On SABR Day itself, there will be a special feature on the 1890s, which will celebrate the significant link between keeping score and baseball history. This article will be published at 05:00 British time in order to coincide with the start of the day in the time-zone of the Cleveland-based SABR office. To view all the Cobbettes published to date, click here.

Continue reading

Giants Past and Present by Dan Fost

GPaPGiants Past and Present by Dan Fost (MVP Books, 2010), 144 pages

2010 was the year in which the Giants finally gave San Francisco a World Series Championship, fifty-two years after moving from New York.

It was a moment of triumph, relief and joy among Giants fans, but the people behind this Past and Present series at MVP Books must have bemoaned their bad luck.  The Giants franchise was chosen as one of the latest teams to get a featured book dedicated to them prior to the 2010 season. 

The greatest moment in the team’s history since 1954 therefore does not get a mention and the numerous occasions when Dan Fost notes the Giants’ ‘nearly men’ status no longer seem so relevant.

However, despite these details already being out of date, Dan Fost’s timing might not have been as unfortunate as first seems.

Several other instalments in the Past and Present series have been reviewed here previously.  This one follows the same tried-and-tested format.  It’s a glossy, coffee-table offering that splits the history of the franchise into easily digestible sections, rather than following a potentially dry year-by-year sequence.  For example, there are sections on the Giants’ fierce rivalries from their time on both coasts of the States, the organization’s place in helping to break the “race barrier” and the great teams and dynasties throughout the franchise’s history. 

The Giants are a worthy franchise to have such a book dedicated to them.  The team started life as the New York Gothams in 1883 before becoming the Giants two years later.  They won five World Championships and seventeen pennants while in New York, battling for supremacy with the Yankees and Dodgers, before moving to San Francisco for the 1958 season.   Continue reading

Phillies create a fearsome foursome

MlbHlSqAn offseason that has already provided more than its share of shocks offered up another one today.  So much for a quiet, peaceful breakfast: I was excitedly clicking weblinks and reading tweets in between mouthfuls of porridge and slurps of tea.

Cliff Lee’s future had appeared to be down to a straight choice between the New York Yankees and the Texas Rangers. However rumours of a “mystery team” refused to go away and we now know why. 

The Philadelphia Phillies had staged a stealth bid to reel in the pitcher they traded away one year ago.  And, incredibly, they were successful.

Only a few days ago, I was questioning if the Phillies’ reign at the top of the NL East might be about to come to an end.  That comment was based on the idea that their offence had fallen from its previous level and that point still stands.  What’s changed is that they might not need to score many runs to win now anyway.

Roy Halladay, Cliff Lee, Cole Hamels, Roy Oswalt.

It’s a fearsome foursome, capable of causing panic throughout the National League.  Never mind looking ahead to a three-game set and hoping you might get lucky and miss an opponent’s top two pitchers; you’re going to be facing at least two of the best starters in the league regardless of how the schedule falls.

Not only does it give them four excellent starters to throw at you, it also offer the Phillies the luxury of having strength in depth at one of the most important positions on the roster.  If any of the four are lost to injury for a period of time, they will be missed; however, it’s easier to cope with the loss of a top starter if you’ve got another three ready to take the mound on other nights.

The Phillies’ General Manager Ruben Amaro Jr took plenty of flak for trading Lee twelve months ago. That decision was made on the understanding that the Phillies wouldn’t be able to secure Lee’s services beyond the 2010 season when he was due to hit free agency.  Perhaps they would have been celebrating another World Series in 2010 if they had figured out a way to sign Halladay and keep Lee around in the first place?  Maybe, maybe not.

Situations can change over the course of a year and we can’t simply say ‘if they can afford him now, they could have afforded him then’.  It’s possible that spending time in Seattle and Texas during this year made Lee realise that Philadelphia was where he (and his family) really wanted to be and they were now prepared to accept a bit less money to make it happen.

Whether by accident or design, the end result is that the Phillies have secured the services of Halladay and Lee for several years to come on contracts that other teams were prepared to outdo.

The team with the most wins in the Majors in 2010 just got even better and I can’t wait to see what the Rangers and Yankees do in response.

2010 Season Review: NL East

MlbHlSqThe National League East has been home to the Senior Circuit’s World Series representative over the past two seasons.  That wasn’t the case in 2010; however the division still produced much intrigue, action and excitement.

BaseballGB predictions

Joe Braves (WC: Phillies)
Mark Phillies
Matt Phillies (WC: Braves)
Russ Phillies
Steve Braves (WC: Phillies)

 

Philadelphia Phillies (97–65)

It almost went to plan for the Phillies.  They won more games than any other team in the Major Leagues on their way to their fourth straight NL East title.  Roy Halladay, their major offseason addition, took to the National League with ease, winning his second Cy Young award and pitching a perfect game against the Marlins.  He then pitched a no-hitter against the Reds in his first ever postseason start as the Phillies swept Cincinnati to make it to the National League Championship Series.

But the story ended there.  Despite being favourites to beat the San Francisco Giants, the Phillies’ hopes of getting to a third straight World Series were dashed.

There really wasn’t much more that the Phillies could have done.  Questions will always be asked about whether they could have signed Halladay and kept Cliff Lee, although Roy Oswalt proved a more than able replacement when he was signed from the Astros at the end of July.  Cole Hamels also had a great bounceback season to give the Phillies a formidable trio of starting pitchers.

The offence was good as well, although it wasn’t quite the powerhouse of previous seasons and that told in the end.  Chase Utley battled through some injuries, Ryan Howard was good rather than great and Jimmy Rollins followed up his 2009 struggles with a season defined by injuries and relative ineffectiveness.  The one man who held it all together was Jayson Werth and he has recently capitalized on his ‘walk year’ performance by signing a lucrative deal with the Nationals. 

Despite their excellent pitching, the Phillies will need Utley, Rollins and Howard to return to previous form in 2011 or their reign at the top of the NL East may come to an end.  Continue reading