Tag Archives: Cliff Lee

The best and worst moves of the offseason

MlbHlSqOn November 7th, exclusive club negotiations ended and baseball fans around the world turned their attentions from San Francisco to Little Rock Arkansas, home town to Cliff Lee: this offseason’s most desirable free agent.

After a predictable bidding war, the 32 year old southpaw and former Cy Young award winner snubbed the Texas Rangers and New York Yankees, deciding instead to return to the Philadelphia Phillies for a 5 year £74.5 million pound contract. He joins what seems to be (on paper at least) the best starting rotation since the Atlanta Braves of the 1990’s.

There has been considerable discussion as to whether or not this was the best signing of the winter. Certainly, Ruben Amaro Jr. deserves a pat on the back for winning the Lee sweepstakes. However, I think Theo Epstein of the Boston Red Sox takes the cake for ‘best offseason’ with the acquisitions of both Adrian Gonzalez and Carl Crawford.

Adrian Gonzalez / Best Offseason Acquisition

Coming from the lofty dimensions of PETCO Park in San Diego, Gonzalez is going to have a field day in Fenway. According to Hit Tracker, his 31 home runs in 2010 seem to be equally distributed to all fields (see “Gonzalez HR Scatter” 2009 & 2010 below).

However, he hit more of his home runs to left in 2009. According to his spray charts (see “Gonzalez 2010 Hit Spray Chart” below), he definitely pushes the ball more than he pulls it, which is a good thing for left handed hitters in Boston. Furthermore, the left field wall in Fenway sits nearly 20 feet shallower down the line than the wall in San Diego. This will amount to a lot more hits for Adrian, either as home runs or as singles/doubles banking off the Green Monster. Moving from the NL West to the AL East also means more games in hitter friendly parks. According to ESPN’s park factors, Yankee Stadium, The Roger’s Centre, and Camden Yards are three of the top five home run parks in the MLB. PETCO, on the other hand, is ranked as the worst stadium for hits, 22nd (of 30) for home runs, and 26th for runs.  Continue reading

Phillies create a fearsome foursome

MlbHlSqAn offseason that has already provided more than its share of shocks offered up another one today.  So much for a quiet, peaceful breakfast: I was excitedly clicking weblinks and reading tweets in between mouthfuls of porridge and slurps of tea.

Cliff Lee’s future had appeared to be down to a straight choice between the New York Yankees and the Texas Rangers. However rumours of a “mystery team” refused to go away and we now know why. 

The Philadelphia Phillies had staged a stealth bid to reel in the pitcher they traded away one year ago.  And, incredibly, they were successful.

Only a few days ago, I was questioning if the Phillies’ reign at the top of the NL East might be about to come to an end.  That comment was based on the idea that their offence had fallen from its previous level and that point still stands.  What’s changed is that they might not need to score many runs to win now anyway.

Roy Halladay, Cliff Lee, Cole Hamels, Roy Oswalt.

It’s a fearsome foursome, capable of causing panic throughout the National League.  Never mind looking ahead to a three-game set and hoping you might get lucky and miss an opponent’s top two pitchers; you’re going to be facing at least two of the best starters in the league regardless of how the schedule falls.

Not only does it give them four excellent starters to throw at you, it also offer the Phillies the luxury of having strength in depth at one of the most important positions on the roster.  If any of the four are lost to injury for a period of time, they will be missed; however, it’s easier to cope with the loss of a top starter if you’ve got another three ready to take the mound on other nights.

The Phillies’ General Manager Ruben Amaro Jr took plenty of flak for trading Lee twelve months ago. That decision was made on the understanding that the Phillies wouldn’t be able to secure Lee’s services beyond the 2010 season when he was due to hit free agency.  Perhaps they would have been celebrating another World Series in 2010 if they had figured out a way to sign Halladay and keep Lee around in the first place?  Maybe, maybe not.

Situations can change over the course of a year and we can’t simply say ‘if they can afford him now, they could have afforded him then’.  It’s possible that spending time in Seattle and Texas during this year made Lee realise that Philadelphia was where he (and his family) really wanted to be and they were now prepared to accept a bit less money to make it happen.

Whether by accident or design, the end result is that the Phillies have secured the services of Halladay and Lee for several years to come on contracts that other teams were prepared to outdo.

The team with the most wins in the Majors in 2010 just got even better and I can’t wait to see what the Rangers and Yankees do in response.

Weekly Hit Ground Ball: Rangers roll the dice with Lee

WhgbHlSqThe All-Star break gives everyone the chance to take a deep breath, reflect on the events of the previous three and a bit months and gather themselves for a big push in the second half of the season. 

It’s a welcome pause from the constant hive of activity and some players may have had half an eye on the break for a week or two, whether due to nagging knocks needing a few days’ rest or the grind of playing for a team already out of contention.  However, it’s not the same for us fans.  We’ll take the break when given, especially as the Home Run Derby and All-Star Game tide us over,  but the action can keep on rolling along as far as we’re concerned.

That’s why it was a welcome surprise when a major trade was consummated at the start of the weekend.  If we’re not going to have the constant flow of games to discuss over the next few days, we may as well have Cliff Lee’s move to the Texas Rangers to debate instead.  Continue reading

Weekly Hit Ground Ball: Searching for starters

WhgbHlSqWe’re not quite halfway through the season, but teams are already taking stock of how 2010 is shaping up for them.

Some teams are on the right course for a playoff place, many others can paint scenarios that will see them breaking into the October club, while several teams already have one eye on 2011.

Whichever group a team is in, they will be looking at their roster of players, looking at the other twenty-nine teams and giving serious thought to making a deal or two.  The initial trade deadline is six weeks away and a lot can happen in that period.  A good or bad run of form can turn a team from being a buyer to a seller and back again, while the ever-present shadow of injuries can force a team’s hand into going out and replacing a key player. 

Acquiring a new starting pitcher in particular can make all the difference, either by acquiring an ace, such as the Phillies did with Cliff Lee last year, or getting a guy off the scrap heap as the Dodgers did with Vicente Padilla. 

You can never be certain how a deal is going to work out.  Jarrod Washburn went 8-6 with a 2.64 ERA for the Mariners during the first four months of the 2009 season and was much sought after on trade deadline day.  Detroit won the battle to acquire Washburn, but he was hampered by a knee injury and ended with a 7.33 ERA in his eight starts with his new team and is now a free agent and contemplating retirement.

Still, that uncertainty is part of the fun as a fan (not so much for the General Managers).  Here are a few starting pitchers that could be joining contenders over the next six weeks.  Continue reading