Tag Archives: 2011 MLB Preview

2011 MLB predictions

MlbHlSqOpening Day is almost here. 

We’ve provided you with a preview to every division and now it’s time for us to offer our predictions for the 2011 season.  I contacted the rest of the BaseballGB writers to seek their views on the division winners, Wild Card winners and how the postseason will play out and added them to my own. 

So, here’s how we at BaseballGB predict the season will turn out.  Feel free to add your predictions into the mix via the Comments section below.

AL East

David: Red Sox (Yankees win the Wild Card)
Joe: Red Sox (Yankees win the Wild Card)
Mark: Red Sox (Yankees win the Wild Card)
Matt: Red Sox (Yankees win the Wild Card)
Steve: Red Sox (Rays win the Wild Card)

It’s a clean sweep for the Boston Red Sox and that’s really no surprise when you consider their offseason additions. 

Mark has them down as “the best team in baseball” and it’s hard to disagree when you look at their roster.  David neatly sums it up with his prediction on individual performances: “Crawford steals 40 bases and hits 25 HRs. Gonzalez hits 40+ HRs, .310, 120 RBI, and wins AL MVP. Beckett and Papelbon have better seasons than last. Daisuke makes a comeback. Ellsbury leads AL in stolen bases and hits over .300. Youkilis and Pedroia both make All Star team again”.   Continue reading

2011 MLB Preview: American League East

MlbHlSqThe Tampa Bay Rays beat the odds by winning the East in 2010.  After losing several key players over the offseason, can they hold off the Yankees and Red Sox again?

2010 final standings

1. Tampa Bay Rays (96-66)
2. New York Yankees (95-67) * AL Wild Card
3. Boston Red Sox (89-73)
4. Toronto Blue Jays (85-77)
5. Baltimore Orioles (66-96)

The 2010/11 offseason

As always seems to be the case, the AL East was a hive of offseason activity.

The Boston Red Sox were relatively dormant in the 09/10 offseason, but they showed that this was merely the lull before the 10/11 offseason storm by snapping up two of the best offensive players in the game.  The Red Sox completed the long-anticipated trade for first baseman Adrian Gonzalez and then sent shockwaves through the league with a stealth signing of former Rays hero Carl Crawford. These additions more than made up for the loss of catcher Victor Martinez (Detroit) and third baseman Adrian Beltre (Texas) via free agency.

While Boston were booming, the New York Yankees were left frustrated. Their offseason goal seemed simple enough: sign starting pitcher Cliff Lee. Once he decided to go back to Philadelphia instead, they were left high and dry.  Losing Andy Pettitte to retirement further added to their rotation woes and they resorted to picking up some free agent veterans in Freddy Garcia, Bartolo Colon and Kevin Millwood to provide some depth in their organization.  Their offseason efforts were concentrated on re-signing veterans Mariano Rivera and Derek Jeter (the latter in a somewhat strained process) and joining the Red Sox in the ‘Rays Removal’ market by signing Tampa Bay’s closer Rafael Soriano to be their set-up man.  Continue reading

2011 MLB Preview: American League Central

MlbHlSqThe Minnesota Twins were the class team in the Central last year, but the White Sox and Tigers have every intention of putting them under more pressure in 2011.

2010 final standings

1. Minnesota Twins (94-68)
2. Chicago White Sox (88-74)
3. Detroit Tigers (81-81)
4. Cleveland Indians (69-93)
5. Kansas City Royals (67-95)

The 2010/11 offseason

It was a good offseason for the neutrals, as the main challengers made some key additions in an attempt to chase down the reigning champs.

The Tigers made their moves early.  They signed free agent catcher/first baseman/designated hitter Victor Martinez, bringing the former Cleveland Indian back to the AL Central after a year and a half with Boston, and gave Joaquin Benoit, a reliever revelation for the Rays in 2010, a three-year contract.

It looked like Detroit would be the Twins’ only real challenger as the White Sox contemplated entering a rebuilding phase.  However, Chicago’s owner Jerry Reinsdorf had a change of heart and opened the purse strings instead.  That allowed General Manger Kenny Williams to not only re-sign first baseman Paul Konerko and catcher A.J. Pierzynski, but also to bag the big bopper Adam Dunn on a four-year contract after he left the Washington Nationals as a free agent.  Former Twins reliever Jesse Crain and lefty Will Ohman were added to the bullpen, while Matt Thornton was given a contract extension and the closer’s role after Bobby Jenks wore out his welcome and was granted free agency, during which he signed with the Red Sox.  Continue reading

2011 MLB Preview: American League West

MlbHlSqThe American League West may have lost one of the best pitchers in the Majors over the offseason, but there is plenty of talent left in the division.

2010 final standings

1. Texas Rangers (90-72)
2. Oakland Athletics (81-81)
3. Los Angeles Angels (80-82)
4. Seattle Mariners (61-101)

The 2010/11 Offseason

Despite their best efforts, the Texas Rangers were unable to keep starting pitcher Cliff Lee in the AL West when he became a free agent.  Lee was traded by the Philadelphia Phillies to the Seattle Mariners during the 2009/10 offseason, before the M’s traded him on to their division rivals midway through the 2010 season.  Lee decided to complete the circle by heading back to Philadelphia over the offseason, so the Rangers took their money and spent it on another former Mariner: third baseman Adrian Beltre, who played for the Red Sox in 2010.

That was bad news for the Angels.  They lost their number one offseason target when Carl Crawford joined the Red Sox and Beltre was widely considered to be their back-up option before the Rangers swooped in and took him off the market.  The Angels reacted by trading for the Blue Jays’ outfielder Vernon Wells, taking on all but $5m of the $86m due over the remaining four years on his contract.  They’ve acquired a good player in Wells, but it was strange to see them miss out on their primary targets due to refusing to match rival offers, only to take on what was considered an almost unmovable contract.  Continue reading

2011 MLB Preview: National League East

MlbHlSqThe Phillies topped the NL East in 2010 and made the standout free agent signing of the offseason.  However, the Braves have made additions of their own and with the Marlins bringing through some excellent young players, this division is far from being a forgone conclusion.

2010 final standings

1. Philadelphia Phillies (97-65)
2. Atlanta Braves (91-71)
3. Florida Marlins (80-82)
4. New York Mets (79-83)
5. Washington Nationals (69-93)

The 2010/11 offseason

The Phillies captured the biggest free agent on the market, stunning the New York Yankees and Texas Rangers by stealing starting pitcher Cliff Lee from under their noses.  Lee decided that he enjoyed his brief spell in Philadelphia in 2009 so much that he wanted to return and the Phillies were not going to turn him away. 

The addition of Lee to the rotation counterbalanced the loss of outfielder Jayson Werth, who made a surprise free agent switch to the Washington Nationals.  The Nats also signed first baseman Adam LaRoche and the pair will need to make up for the loss of slugger Adam Dunn, who moved to the White Sox as a free agent.  Continue reading

2011 MLB Preview: National League Central

MlbHlSqFor the first time since they topped the National League Central in 1995, the Cincinnati Reds enter a season looking to defend their division.  And their rivals are determined to make it a difficult year.

2010 Standings (Team, win-loss record)

1. Cincinnati Reds (91-71)
2. St. Louis Cardinals (86-76)
3. Milwaukee Brewers (77-85)
4. Houston Astros (76-86)
5. Chicago Cubs (75-87)
6. Pittsburgh Pirates (57-105)

The 2010/11 Offseason

It has been an interesting offseason in the NL Central.

The reigning champion Reds went down a course of consolidation.  They brought back starter Bronson Arroyo and signed extensions with Joey Votto, Jay Bruce and Johnny Cueto, whilst avoiding the loss of any significant contributors.  All of which means they remain a very solid team, but they haven’t pushed on with the help of acquiring new players and other teams in the division have taken that as a sign to chance their arm. Continue reading

2011 MLB Preview: National League West

MlbHlSqHome to the reigning World Series champions, the NL West ended up being a two-horse race in 2010, with the Padres just missing out at the last.  The Giants’ subsequent postseason success should be a great incentive to their division rivals, both in terms of showing what is possible and in making the rest just that little more determined to knock the Giants back down.

2010 standings (Team, win-loss record)

1. San Francisco Giants. 92-70 * World Series champions
2. San Diego Padres. 90-72
3. Colorado Rockies. 83-79
4. Los Angeles Dodgers. 80-82
5. Arizona Diamondbacks. 65-97

The 2010/11 Offseason

The Giants inched past the Padres to set them on course to a World Series championship in 2010 and they look well-placed to get back to the postseason again in 2011.  They haven’t done a great deal over the offseason; their main efforts have involved keeping hitters Aubrey Huff, Pat Burrell and Cody Ross.  However, their challengers have not taken significant strides forward to chase the Giants down.

In the Padres’ case, they’ve gone the other way by losing their best player.  First baseman Adrian Gonzalez was traded to the Boston Red Sox for a host of prospects, which should be good news for the future but is liable to see the Padres drop back a bit in 2011.  The Rockies invested heavily in signing young stars Troy Tulowitzki and Carlos Gonzalez to multi-year contracts and brought back free-agent starting pitcher Jorge de la Rosa.  These are all good moves that will help to keep the team in contention for the foreseeable future, but they don’t obviously make the 2011 Rockies a tougher proposition compared to the 2010 team.

The Dodgers are still in limbo as a result of their owners’ bitter divorce proceedings and they had a quiet offseason as a result, although they retain enough talented players to potentially get into the division race if things fall right.  In contrast, the D-Backs continued down the rebuilding road by trading third baseman Mark Reynolds to the Baltimore Orioles and allowing Adam LaRoche and one-time ace Brandon Webb to depart as free agents. 

Returning stars

Without wishing to downplay their batting heroes, San Francisco’s World Series triumph lived up to the age-old theory that quality pitching often proves to be the difference-maker.  The Giants’ staff will once again catch the eye, led by two-time Cy Young award winner Tim Lincecum, Matt Cain and the extrovert closer Brian Wilson.  Catcher Buster Posey may be coming off his rookie year, but he already looks the type of talent who can lead a team, while the ‘Kung Fu Panda’ Pablo Sandoval has lost some weight over the offseason and will look to bounce back from what was personally a disappointing year in 2010.

The Rockies’ hopes, both now and in the future, revolve around their three young stars: starting pitcher Ubaldo Jimenez, shortstop Troy Tulowizki and outfielder Carlos Gonzalez.  The exciting young pitching talent in the NL West continues with the Padres’ Mat Latos, who was outstanding in his first full season last year.  Heath Bell is one of the best closers in the business and he plays an important role as a veteran of the Padres’ pitching staff, something that new recruits Jason Bartlett and Orlando Hudson will look to do on the postition-player side too.

In Los Angeles, their crop of young talent has reached the stage where they now need to turn promise and potential into a playoff run.  James Loney, Andre Ethier and Matt Kemp all need to produce in 2011, with Kemp in particular coming off what was for him a below-par year.  Clayton Kershaw has established himself as one of the best young starters around alongside Chad Billingsley, while closer Jonathan Broxton needs to restore his confidence (and the Dodgers’ confidence in him) after a nervy second half to 2010.  Hard-throwing reliever Kenley Jansen is one to keep an eye on from a European perspective.  He was the Netherlands’ catcher in the 2009 World Baseball Classic before the Dodgers turned his rocket-arm over to pitching, to stunning immediate effect. 

As for the Diamondbacks, they are hoping that Ian Kennedy and Dan Hudson can build on their promising 2010 seasons in the rotation.  The team was let down badly by a historically terrible bullpen and closer J.J. Putz has been recruited as part of the process of building a group of relievers that provide relief rather than panic and misery.  Right-fielder Justin Upton has all of the tools to be a star and this might just be the year he takes a big step forward, while centre-fielder Chris Young and second baseman Kelly Johnson will provide plenty of power in the lineup

Managers

Kurt Gibson took over in Arizona on an interim basis midway through the 2010 season and he is now in charge on a full-time basis.  In L.A., Don Mattingly steps out from Joe Torre’s shadow following the latter’s retirement.  Bruce Bochy (Giants), Jim Tracy (Rockies) and Bud Black (Padres) all return for another season.

Contenders?

Should be: Giants, Rockies

Could be: Padres, Dodgers,

Won’t be: D-Backs

The Giants will be at the front of the battle. From there it’s a case of whether the Rockies can make up ground from 2010 and if the Padres can cover for the loss of Gonzalez.