Monthly Archives: March 2018

Oakland A’s Season Opener: 21:05 on Thursday

As I’ve got the day off work and can’t think of anything but baseball, I thought I’d do something vaguely useful with my time and look ahead to the A’s opener tonight at 21:05 BST.

After inheriting the Opening Day assignment in 2017 due to Sonny Gray being ill, Graveman will take the mound this time as the A’s nominal ace.

I say nominal ace as even the most optimistic A’s fan wouldn’t really put him in the ace bracket, but he’s the leading starting pitcher among our current crop alongside Friday’s starter Sean Manaea.

Looking back at his Opening Day start a year ago, Graveman did a decent job in limiting the Angels to 2 runs over 6 innings.  He did that throwing his sinker almost exclusively. There were a few cut fastballs thrown in here and there, yet otherwise it was sinker, sinker, sinker.

Athough he does throw his sinker a lot, that was a bit extreme, perhaps with him not quite having a feel for his change and curve in his first start, and more generally over the 2017 season this was his pitch breakdown according to Brooks Baseball:

  • Sinker: 65% of the time (approx 94 MPH)
  • Cutter: 15% (91)
  • Change: 10% (86)
  • Curve: 6% (80)
  • Other 4%: varations of a fastball.

As with most pitchers, the overall numbers obscure the different approaches taken against right or left-handed hitters.  Against righties he went to the sinker almost 80% of the time, then 10% cutter, 10% curve (very occasionally chucking a change into the mix). Against lefties, he significantly increased his cutter (23%) and change-up (22%) usage, bringing his sinker use down to approximately 50% and then throwing a few curves in here and there.

For those new to baseball, that’s quite typical among pitchers. A right-handed pitcher will tend to use a curve against a right-handed hitter and a change-up against lefties, and vice versa for a left-handed pitcher.

The Baseball Savant website does a great job of visualising how a pitcher has approached different hitters and the outcomes of that.  Here’s a link to the page for Graveman’s work against the Angels.

Line-up

The starting line-up hasn’t been announced at time of writing. The A’s are facing right-hander Garrett Richards and faced a righty (Chris Stratton) in their final exhibition game on Tuesday, so if we use that as a guide then it would be:

  1. Joyce (LF)
  2. Semien (SS)
  3. Lowrie (2B)
  4. Davis (DH)
  5. Olson (1B)
  6. Piscotty (RF)
  7. Chapman (3B)
  8. Maxwell (C)
  9. Powell (CF)

I suspect Jonathon Lucroy will be in the line-up instead of Maxwell, but we’ll find out soon enough.

21:05 BST

The game is scheduled to begin at 21:05 BST and is available to watch online for MLB.TV subscribers. Join myself and the rest of the OaklandAUK fanbase on Twitter tonight.

 

2018 MLB Opening Day

There is baseball today, there will be baseball tomorrow, and the day after that.

And the day after that.

That’s what makes MLB Opening Day the best unofficial holiday. It isn’t just one day and then it’s over, it’s the start of a 2,430 game regular season.

Unfortunately fans of the Nationals and Reds are going to have to wait an extra day for their season to begin as their scheduled opener has been moved to Friday due to ‘inclement weather’. That scuppered the plan for all 30 teams to start their season on the same day, something that might sound like an obvious thing to do but hasn’t been the norm in recent history.

Still, Cincinnati and Washington fans can enjoy the rest of the games, as can we all.  Whilst seeing your chosen team in action for the first time is the priority, it’s impossible avoid the temptation to catch a glimpses of other games too. Here’s the full list of Thursday games with first pitches listed in BST.

17:40. Cubs at Marlins (Lester, Urena) *BT Sport/ESPN
18:10. Pirates at Tigers (Nova, Zimmermann)
18:10. Cardinals at Mets (Martinez, Syndergaard)
20:05. Twins at Orioles (Odorizzi, Bundy)
20:35. Astros at Rangers (Verlander, Hamels) *BT Sport/ESPN
20:37. Yankees at Blue Jays (Severino, Happ)
21:00. Red Sox at Rays (Sale, Archer)
21:05. Angels at Athletics (Richards, Graveman)
21:10. Brewers at Padres (Anderson, Richard) *MLB.com Free Game
21:10. Phillies at Braves (Nola, Teheran)
21:15. White Sox at Royals (Shields, Duffy)

00:08. Giants at Dodgers (Blach, Kershaw) *BT Sport3
03:10. Indians at Mariners (Kluber, Hernandez) *BT Sport3
03:10. Rockies at D-backs (Gray, Corbin)

You can gorge on MLB on BT Sport for a good 12-13 hours if you so wish over their four games, with MLB.TV subscribers able to switch between any they like.

My initial plan is a few innings of Cubs-Marlins, then watching Noah Syndergaard in action for the Mets, then dipping into the Astros-Rangers game for half an hour before switching over to the A’s opener. In other words, baseball followed by more baseball, followed by more baseball, and then a bit more baseball on top of that.

And that’s exactly what Opening Day is all about.

EDIT: updated to note that Brewers-Padres has been selected as the MLB.com Free Game

Thank You For The A’s: New Season Excitement, but Bad Luck with Puk

The time difference between the UK and US creates a unique experience in following MLB from these shores.

With many games being played in the early hours for us, breakfast time during the baseball season takes on an added dimension. The tone of your day ahead is set by what appears on your phone/tablet/laptop as you sit down with your cereal and wait for MLB.com to load up on your chosen team’s page.

Yesterday morning I checked MLB At Bat and thought about the daily rollercoaster of emotions that was about to begin.  I didn’t expect that rollercoaster to set off this morning though.

There it was staring straight at me: “TJ surgery recommended for top prospect Puk”.  The shining light during Spring Training, the pitcher we were looking forward to following his progress in Triple-A before a mid-season (or earlier) call-up to the Big Leagues, a potential ace for us to be proud of.

What a way to ruin your cornflakes.

A.J., we hardly knew ye but we had placed our hopes on you as intently as a pigeon sits waiting for a chip to fall to the floor. We’ve had slim pickings for several years now and you offered the potential for something that us A’s fans don’t get to experience all that much: a young pitcher that fans of other teams wish was on theirs.

You weren’t going to be on the Opening Day roster and you were unlikely to lead us to the play-offs this year. In some ways, if your arm was going to give out then better now than in two years’ time when you’d settled into the Big Leagues and had a potential play-off team around you. If you make a full recovery, who knows, maybe you’ll be a bullpen weapon as the A’s make a play-off charge next September before starring in the rotation in 2020?

All is far from lost, but at a time of the year when everything should be filled with optimism and positivity, this news is like being presented with a cake and then someone comes along and takes the chocolate icing bits off it.  It’s still a lovely cake to enjoy, yet you’ll enjoy it knowing that it could have been even tastier.

Here’s hoping the surgery – still not confirmed but seemingly inevitable – and recovery goes well.

Opening Day roster

I’ve said before that the A’s season will come down to how the rotation supports an improved bullpen and very promising batting line-up and that’s coming even more sharply into focus.

Puk looks to be following Jharel Cotton to the operating theatre for Tommy John surgery and Paul Blackburn’s forearm strain seems ominous too. We entered Spring Training with a battle for starting rotation spots and hopes that a few players would put their hand up to grab a place. We’ve ended up with a rotation based on whose arms are physically able to allow them to put their hand up.

I jest, of course, as Kendall Graveman, Sean Manaea, Daniel Mengden, Andrew Triggs and Daniel Gossett all have talent and now is the time for them to show it. Trevor Cahill and Brett Anderson are waiting in the wings – and wouldn’t it be a great story if they are able to stay healthy and become effective A’s starters once again – so there is a bit of depth there, albeit not depth that comes with any guarantees.

The main position player decision still to be made is in centre field. Reading between the lines I get the impression that whilst the A’s ultimately see Dustin Fowler as the centre fielder, it may make sense to start him in Triple-A after the long lay-off from knee surgery last summer. That would give Boog Powell a chance to show what he can do out there, with Jake Smolinski a right-handed bench option who appears to be something of a favourite of Bob Melvin.

Here come the Halos

Click the thumbnail for the full March/April schedule

It all gets going on Thursday at the wonderfully UK-friendly time of 21.05.  The LA Angels are in town for a four-game series, with Shohei Ohtani scheduled to make his Major League debut (on the mound, at least) on Sunday.

Kendall Graveman will get the Opening Day assignment against the Angels for the second consecutive year and he did a decent job last time, giving up two runs over six innings.

The games on Saturday and Sunday are day-games too so the season will begin in a very convenient fashion for us.  Even the night-game on Friday is a bit more manageable than usual coming in the early hours of Saturday as part of the Easter weekend.

Despite our pitcher injury woes and modest expectations for 2018, nothing can dull the excitement of a new season and the adventure we’re going to go on together over the next 162 games with the A’s.  I’ll be blogging about it all season long and commenting on Twitter via my usual account and at the A’s UK fan account @OaklandAUK.

Weekly Hit Ground Ball: The Other Teams

At this time of the year it’s traditional to publish predictions of how the MLB season is going to pan out.

If you asked most fans which ten teams are going to make the playoffs right now, you’re likely to find a lot of similarities.

In the American League, Houston, Boston, New York and Cleveland all look strong favourites, with the LA Angels the trendy pick for the second Wild Card.

In the National League, LA Dodgers, Chicago and Washington are the probable division winners and you can then take your pick from a group of teams to meet in the Wild Card game.

So, rather than focus on the potential division winners, we’ll look at another team of interest in each division.

AL West

Let’s start in the division of the reigning World Series champions with the team that many are awarding the ‘won the off-season’ prize to.

What exactly should we expect from the LA Angels this year? Any team with Mike Trout in it has a chance and they’ve made some good additions, but have they made a big leap ahead or a more modest improvement?

Part of that will be determined by their headline acquisition, Japanese two-way talent Shohei Ohtani. Every team wanted him and it was a coup for the Angels to win his signature. An adjustment period is to be expected and that leads us to Ohtani’s Spring Training, which politely can be described as disappointing. Despite the ever-present caveat this time of year that ‘it’s only Spring Training’, were he not a highly touted player from Japan it’s possible the Angels would have considered sending him to Triple-A given how he has performed.

That’s not a viable option and so he’s going to need to develop his craft in the Majors. Ordinarily it would be fine for Ohtani to take some lumps here and there as he puts together an encouraging debut season to build on, and in isolation that remains the case. The problem with that for the Angels is the rest of their starting rotation comes with plenty of question marks. If Ohtani isn’t really good, will the additions of Ian Kinsler, Zack Cosart and renewing with Justin Upton alone make them more than a potential second Wild Card?

AL Central

The Minnesota Twins proved last year that you can’t always count a team out based on previous form. Few if any picked the Twins to make the play-offs, yet some good performances and other teams not meeting expectations for various reasons meant that the Twins could look around, see no one else was really making a claim for the second Wild Card and take it for themselves.

They did that with no expectations on their shoulders, other than the expectation from others that at some point someone else would overtake them. Now the expectations have changed. That’s not to say they are favourites, but they’ve got something to live up to.

Although they’ve not exactly become big spenders, you can’t accuse the Twins of standing still and failing to add to their roster.

They started with their bullpen, adding Addison Russell and Fernando Rodney, and then took advantage of the slow-moving free agent market by picking up Logan Morrison for their batting lineup and two good starting pitchers in Jake Odorizzi and Lance Lynn. On the negative side, Ervin Satana will miss at least the first month of the season due to a finger injury and shortstop Jorge Polanco will serve an 80-game drug suspension.

The Twins are no juggernaut, yet they are a good team and it shouldn’t be overlooked that they’ll play 57 games combined against the rebuilding Chicago White Sox, Detroit Tigers and Kansas City Royals. Few seem to be picking them for a Wild Card, but I wouldn’t be so quick to count them out.

AL East

The 2018 AL East looks set to be a heavyweight fight between the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees. We’ve been there before a few times.

The other three teams have all taken turns at upsetting the order in recent years. I wouldn’t say any had a great chance at doing that this time around, yet if I had to pick a team that would be worth watching it would be the Toronto Blue Jays.

The Edwin Encarnacion-Jose Bautista Blue Jays have gone, with neither player now with the club and fellow star Josh Donaldson heading for free agency at the end of the 2018 season. Nothing lasts forever. Toronto had a really good team there for a few years but many of the leading players are now either gone, past their best or potentially heading towards an exit.

That makes the Blue Jays’ season all the more intriguing. Are they going to slip back again or do they have one last hurrah in them?

They haven’t made any impressive additions to their roster: tinkering with the bullpen, adding a couple of former Cardinals in Randall Grichuk and Aledmys Garcia, and signing veteran Curtis Granderson. They do still have good players on the roster though and will look even better if Aaron Sanchez’s blister issues can be a thing of the past. If not, June and July could be dominated by rumours of where Donaldson will be traded to.

NL East

Picking ‘another team’ from the NL East is a difficult task. The Washington Nationals were a country mile ahead of the rest of their division last year and that doesn’t look like changing in 2018.  The Miami Marlins finished second last year – yes, that surprised me too when I checked – but we all know what’s happened there over the off-season (fire sale number 4 or 5, it’s hard to keep count).

So, you’ve got the young talent of the Atlanta Braves, the young talent and two good free agent additions in the Philadelphia Phillies and the New York Mets.  Let’s go with the latter.

The period from mid-2015 to mid-2016 was a lot of fun for the Mets. They went to a World Series in October 2015 and then saw the Yankees trading away players the following summer.  It looked like the city was the Mets’s.

Well that didn’t last very long, did it? The Yankees, in a way that only the Yankees could, rapidly turned a rebuild into a strong Major League roster and loaded farm system.  The Mets lost the 2016 NL Wild Card game and then fell apart in 2017.

Frustratingly for their fans, they haven’t responded aggressively to this turn of events.  Jay Bruce and Todd Frazier are solid, experienced players, but they’re not going to convince a fan base that a team that lost 92 games last year is going to explode back into life.

As ever with these Mets, it all comes down to the starting rotation. If Syndergaard, deGrom, Harvey and Matz can make 100+ starts, and more starts than not reflecting their talent, then they’ll be a Wild Card threat. Mets fans have seen enough to be excited whilst also not being willing to bet their own money on it happening.

NL Central

Just as the Twins sprang a surprise in the AL Central, the Milwaukee Brewers were more competitive than most predicted in the NL Central last season.

Just as the Twins, the Brewers now have some expectations to live up to and, just as the Twins, they’ve not sat back and let the pack pass them.  However, they haven’t made the depth of signings as others and that may be their undoing, especially with Jimmy Nelson working his way back from shoulder surgery.

Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich are an excellent pair of signings to add to the outfield and the top of their batting order. It’s still not completely clear how the roster will shake out from there, with the original plan for Ryan Braun to play some first base already looking like an experiment too far.

It’s far from the worst problem to have as the outfield recruits offer plenty of reason to be excited for the Brew Crew, yet you get the sense that having started to push chips into the middle of the table, Milwaukee might have been better off – if not quite going all in – at least reaching for another starting pitcher to add to the group.

Within their division, you could argue they haven’t given up much to the St Louis Cardinals as they’ve also added an outfielder from the Marlins (Marcell Ozuna) but little else. Whether that’s going to be enough to beat others to a Wild Card remains to be seen.

NL West

I started planning this column in the middle of the week and had already decided to pick the San Francisco Giants for this spot.

Little did I know that the last few days would add more uncertainty to the Giants’ season.

Looking at 2017 in isolation you could say that everything fell apart for San Francisco and that wouldn’t be far from the truth.  What that disguises somewhat is that things started going awry in the second half of 2016. There was no ‘even year’ World Series that time around, they lost 11 of 13 after the All-Star break, and went 30-42 in total, to go from a 6.5 game lead at the top of the West to finishing four games behind the Dodgers.

Over the current off-season there was a clear decision to give it one last go with the Posey-Bumgarner-Crawford team and so trades were made to bring in experienced campaigners Evan Longoria and Andrew McCutchen.  Reliever Tony Watson was also signed as a free agent to add a quality lefty to the mix, hopefully behind last year’s big recruit Mark Melcancon if he’s fully recovered from forearm surgery.

But then it was announced that Jeff Samrdzija will miss several weeks with a strained pectoral injury and Madison Bumgarner took a line drive back on his left hand that fractured his little finger and could keep him out for the best part of two months.  Their Opening Day four-man rotation will consist of Johnny Cueto followed by Ty Blach, Chris Stratton and Derek Holland, which is a clear drop-off from what might have been.

The two starters shouldn’t have any lingering issues from their ailments so if the team can hold steady then they could build into the season and make a Wild Card run in the second half.  However, there’s an increased injury risk with a veteran team and their chances will depend on keeping their best players on the field, something that hasn’t started well.

The route to the 2020 Olympics is set out for European nations

Everyone’s focus is mainly on club baseball at this time of year, with Major League Baseball’s Opening Day soon to be upon us and British teams playing friendlies as the gear up for the start of the domestic season in early April.

However, some significant international baseball (and softball) news has just been announced. The World Baseball Softball Confederation (WBSC) has confirmed the qualification process for the 2020 Olympics.

Baseball and softball were last in the Olympics in 2008 and they’ve been given another chance by virtue of their popularity in the host nation, Japan.

The full details can be found in the news article on the WBSC website.  Our focus is of course on Great Britain and the potential route to an Olympic appearance for European teams.

The first challenge is to finish in the top 5 of the European Baseball Championships. Those teams will go on to an Africa/Europe qualifier alongside the winner of the African Baseball Championship/Qualifier 2019.  The winner of that six-team event will qualify for the Olympics.

The runner-up will go into a six-team Intercontinental Qualifier alongside the 2nd and 3rd Place finishers from the Americas Qualifier, the top two finishers from the Asian Championship 2019 (not including nations already qualified for Tokyo 2020) and the winner of Oceania Qualifier 2019.

So that’s the route the European teams will need to navigate to get to Tokyo 2020.  If we look at the standings from the last five European Championships we’ll see who the favourites to get through to the Africa/Euro Qualifier will be.

16P16T14P14T12P12T10P1007P07T
1Netherlands1Netherlands1Italy1Italy1 Netherlands
2Spain2Italy2Netherlands2Netherlands2 Great Britain
3Italy3Spain3Spain3Germany3 Spain
4Germany4Czech Republic4Germany4Greece4 Germany
5Czech Republic5Germany5Czech Republic5Sweden5 France
6Belgium6France6Sweden6France6 Sweden
7France7Belgium7Greece7Czech Republic7 Italy
8Sweden8Russia8France8Great Britain8 Croatia
9Great Britain9Great Britain9Belgium9Belgium9 Ukraine
10Croatia10Greece10Croatia9Spain10 Russia
11Greece11Sweden11Great Britain11Croatia11 Austria
12Russia12Croatia12Russia11Ukraine12 Czech Republic

The same five teams have been in the top five in the past three Euros: Netherlands, Italy, Spain, Germany and the Czech Republic.  Something disastrous would have to happen for the first two not to make it.  Spain had a blip in 2010, but you would expect them to at least be best of the rest and Germany haven’t been out of the top five during that period.  The Czech Republic have really raised their levels over the past 10-15 years and they’ve got three consecutive top five finishes against their name.

All of which shows the rest of the teams are going to have to go some to knock the existing top five out of Olympic contention.

Great Britain haven’t been too close to the top five in recent years so there is plenty of work to do, yet the outstanding silver medal from 2007 shows that it is possible for a team to have a great tournament and upset the odds.  Liam Carroll’s team will be aiming to do just that in Germany next year.

BGB Fantasy League 2018: Draft Recap

It started with a Yankee, ended with a Met and involved 238 other players in between. Here’s how the 2018 BaseballGB Fantasy League draft unfolded.

I had done three mock drafts in preparation for our live online draft, one picking second out of 12 teams, the others at seventh and 11th. I liked the team from seventh most of all, partly because picking regularly allowed you more chances to change strategies and focus between different positions without having to wait long times between picks.

So when I logged into the draft room I looked at the randomly drawn draft order and found my team picking third. Surely a case of hovering the mouse over Nolan Arenado’s name and waiting to click. But not so fast…

 

Round 1
1. Aaron Judge(NYY – OF) Richie’s RBI’s
2. Mike Trout(LAA – CF) The Bath Bom…
3. José Altuve(Hou – 2B) Orpington Is…
4. Nolan Arenado(Col – 3B) Beckenham A&…
5. Trea Turner(Was – SS) Newcastle Kn…
6. Giancarlo Stanton(NYY – OF) Mighty Slugs
7. Bryce Harper(Was – OF) Norwich No II
8. Clayton Kershaw(LAD – SP) Weston-Super…
9. Charlie Blackmon(Col – CF) Batteries Es…
10. J.D. Martinez(Bos – OF) Cheshunt Mal…
11. Mookie Betts(Bos – OF) Durham River…
12. Max Scherzer(Was – SP) The Cheddar …

 

The RBIs were first up, and Yankees fan Richie sprang a surprise by taking Aaron Judge first overall. I must admit at being surprised that Judge was ranked 17th by Yahoo as his enormous power would justify a much higher place in my opinion. I’m not sure I would have taken him first overall, but if he hits 50 homers who can argue. This left the Bombers with Trout second and suddenly I had an alternative to Arenado in Altuve.

Knowing there were plenty of decent 3B options in later rounds that I would be comfortable with, I opted for Altuve’s combination of power, average and speed. It’s not long before another Yankee goes, as Stanton is picked by the Slugs. Again, I thought Stanton’s Yahoo ranking was a touch low, and can understand why you would go for him over someone like Betts, who fell to 11th overall, one place behind JD Martinez. Scherzer joined Kershaw as the first two pitchers taken.

 

Round 2
1. Paul Goldschmidt(Ari – 1B) The Cheddar …
2. Corey Kluber(Cle – SP) Durham River…
3. Joey Votto(Cin – 1B) Cheshunt Mal…
4. Chris Sale(Bos – SP) Batteries Es…
5. Kris Bryant(ChC – 3B,OF) Weston-Super…
6. Freddie Freeman(Atl – 1B,3B) Norwich No II
7. Anthony Rizzo(ChC – 1B,2B) Mighty Slugs
8. Manny Machado(Bal – 3B) Newcastle Kn…
9. Carlos Correa(Hou – SS) Beckenham A&…
10. Francisco Lindor(Cle – SS) Orpington Is…
11. Gary Sánchez(NYY – C) The Bath Bom…
12. Luis Severino(NYY – SP) Richie’s RBI’s

There were a bunch of quality infielders available in round two and I’m sure the Chasers and Maltsters will be very happy to get Goldschmidt and Votto here as I thought they may well have gone in round one. An early rush on aces saw Kluber and Sale selected and as the snake made its way back to me there were a number of great shortstop options on the board.

I had hoped that one of Machado, Correa or Lindor would fall to me, and when the Knights and A&E Dept made their choices my mind was made up for me. No doubt frustrated at seeing Gary Sanchez drafted just before his turn, the Bombers took Severino, which was a little early but he is still a solid staff ace.

 

Round 3
1. Joey Gallo(Tex – 1B,3B,OF) Richie’s RBI’s
2. Noah Syndergaard(NYM – SP) The Bath Bom…
3. Stephen Strasburg(Was – SP) Orpington Is…
4. Madison Bumgarner(SF – SP) Beckenham A&…
5. José Ramírez(Cle – 2B,3B) Newcastle Kn…
6. Josh Donaldson(Tor – 3B) Mighty Slugs
7. George Springer(Hou – CF) Norwich No II
8. Cody Bellinger(LAD – 1B,OF) Weston-Super…
9. José Abreu(CWS – 1B) Batteries Es…
10. Nelson Cruz(Sea – OF) Cheshunt Mal…
11. Alex Bregman(Hou – 3B,SS) Durham River…
12. Brian Dozier(Min – 2B) The Cheddar …

The RBIs reached down the rankings a fair way with the choice of Gallo. He brings enormous power and positional flexibility but the low average is a concern and I’m sure he would have still be around towards the middle of the draft. I decide to take my first pitcher in Strasburg but was seriously tempted to grab Bellinger. With a long wait before my round four pick, I just couldn’t risk seeing Strasburg or my other ace options vanish, so I pick the Nat and hope to get a power bat next time round.

 

Round 4
1. Dee Gordon(Sea – 2B) The Cheddar …
2. Corey Seager(LAD – SS) Durham River…
3. Kenley Jansen(LAD – RP) Cheshunt Mal…
4. Justin Verlander(Hou – SP) Batteries Es…
5. Jacob deGrom(NYM – SP) Weston-Super…
6. Anthony Rendon(Was – 3B) Norwich No II
7. Rhys Hoskins(Phi – 1B,OF) Mighty Slugs
8. Edwin Encarnacion(Cle – 1B) Newcastle Kn…
9. Carlos Carrasco(Cle – SP) Beckenham A&…
10. Justin Upton(LAA – OF) Orpington Is…
11. Marcell Ozuna(StL – OF) The Bath Bom…
12. Yu Darvish(ChC – SP) Richie’s RBI’s

Seeing Verlander, deGrom and Carrasco fly off the board, I feel my decision to take Strasburg when I did is justified. I had hoped for Encarnacion’s power but the Knights beat me to him. It’s a coin flip between Upton, Ozuna and Yelich but I go for Upton’s track record and ability to chip in with steals. Other picks of note see the Chasers take Gordon’s speed and future CF eligibility, the Slugs opt for the Phillies slugger Hoskins and Jansen becomes the first closer to be drafted.

 

Round 5
1. Tyler Wade(NYY – 2B) Richie’s RBI’s
2. Robbie Ray(Ari – SP) The Bath Bom…
3. Christian Yelich(Mil – CF) Orpington Is…
4. Billy Hamilton(Cin – CF) Beckenham A&…
5. Carlos Martínez(StL – SP) Newcastle Kn…
6. Willson Contreras(ChC – C) Mighty Slugs
7. Khris Davis(Oak – OF) Norwich No II
8. Starling Marte(Pit – CF) Weston-Super…
9. Andrew Benintendi(Bos – CF) Batteries Es…
10. Craig Kimbrel(Bos – RP) Cheshunt Mal…
11. Chris Archer(TB – SP) Durham River…
12. Byron Buxton(Min – CF) The Cheddar …

The RBIs start round five with a huge surprise, taking Tyler Wade. Wade may get some playing time to start the season in New York but the presence of Drury, Walker and two good prospects in Andujar and Torres means he will have a fight on his hands to keep his job. Wade would still have been available at the tail end of the draft and there were still plenty of other 2B available with a much stronger track record.

Surprisingly, Yelich is still available when my turn arrives, and after also considering Benintendi, Buxton and Marte, I picked Yelich and crossed the CF position off my to-do list. I am aware that I had not started to fill in my infield corners yet but will hope to do so before too long. I think I need another SP first, though.This round saw five CFs drafted while the Maltsters follow the selection of Jansen with that of Kimbrel for a lethal 1-2 bullpen combination.

 

Round 6
1. Aaron Nola(Phi – SP) The Cheddar …
2. Aroldis Chapman(NYY – RP) Durham River…
3. Tommy Pham(StL – CF) Cheshunt Mal…
4. Robinson Canó(Sea – 2B) Batteries Es…
5. Justin Turner(LAD – 3B) Weston-Super…
6. Jonathan Schoop(Bal – 2B) Norwich No II
7. Miguel Cabrera(Det – 1B) Mighty Slugs
8. José Quintana(ChC – SP) Newcastle Kn…
9. Wil Myers(SD – 1B) Beckenham A&…
10. Zack Greinke(Ari – SP) Orpington Is…
11. Xander Bogaerts(Bos – SS) The Bath Bom…
12. Didi Gregorius(NYY – SS) Richie’s RBI’s

Looking at the corner infield options, I wonder what to do if Cabrera or the now injured Justin Turner are available when it is my turn, but the Sox (absent from the draft, along with Batteries Essential) and Slugs make things easier for me. Greinke as my second starter it is. Schoop’s been an underrated player for a few years now so nice to see him get his due with a round six pick by Norwich while Gregorius, again ranked slightly low in Yahoo for my liking, goes to the RBIs.

 

Round 7
1. Travis Shaw(Mil – 3B) Richie’s RBI’s
2. Corey Knebel(Mil – RP) The Bath Bom…
3. Yoenis Céspedes(NYM – OF) Orpington Is…
4. Andrew McCutchen(SF – CF) Beckenham A&…
5. A.J. Pollock(Ari – CF) Newcastle Kn…
6. Dallas Keuchel(Hou – SP) Mighty Slugs
7. Roberto Osuna(Tor – RP) Norwich No II
8. Elvis Andrus(Tex – SS) Weston-Super…
9. Daniel Murphy(Was – 2B) Batteries Es…
10. Andrew Miller(Cle – RP) Cheshunt Mal…
11. Whit Merrifield(KC – 2B,OF) Durham River…
12. Buster Posey(SF – C,1B) The Cheddar …

Here’s where things start to get a bit tricky for my team, as the gaps at 1B and 3B are still an issue. The next best 1B or 3B in the rankings is Posey and as good as he is at C he won’t provide the kind of HR pop I’d like from 1B. Hosmer is available, as is Sano, but I would have to ignore some decent OF options to get him. I decide to change my plans and take Cespedes to complete my OF, having also considered Domingo Santana. Three more closers are taken this round while Batteries Essential could get nice value from the Murphy autopick here provided he is not missing injured for too long.

 

Round 8
1. Lorenzo Cain(Mil – CF) The Cheddar …
2. James Paxton(Sea – SP) Durham River…
3. Eric Hosmer(SD – 1B) Cheshunt Mal…
4. Domingo Santana(Mil – OF) Batteries Es…
5. Gerrit Cole(Hou – SP) Weston-Super…
6. Masahiro Tanaka(NYY – SP) Norwich No II
7. José Berríos(Min – SP) Mighty Slugs
8. Ryan Braun(Mil – OF) Newcastle Kn…
9. Edwin Díaz(Sea – RP) Beckenham A&…
10. Yasiel Puig(LAD – OF) Orpington Is…
11. DJ LeMahieu(Col – 2B) The Bath Bom…
12. Chris Taylor(LAD – 2B,SS,CF) Richie’s RBI’s

It’s not long before Santana and Hosmer are snapped up and after three SPs go in a row I find myself torn between Sano and Puig. Sano gives 1B and 3B flexibility but I am a huge Puig fan. Even though I will still be left with a corner infield headache, I just can’t pass on Puig, and fill my UT spot. But I have to get a 1B or 3B next time, no matter what.

 

Round 9
1. Ken Giles(Hou – RP) Richie’s RBI’s
2. Lance McCullers Jr.(Hou – SP) The Bath Bom…
3. Miguel Sanó(Min – 1B,3B) Orpington Is…
4. Cody Allen(Cle – RP) Beckenham A&…
5. Jake Arrieta(Phi – SP) Newcastle Kn…
6. Sean Doolittle(Was – RP) Mighty Slugs
7. Felipe Rivero(Pit – RP) Norwich No II
8. Shohei Ohtani (Pitcher)(LAA – SP) Weston-Super…
9. Adrián Béltre(Tex – 3B) Batteries Es…
10. Rafael Devers(Bos – 3B) Cheshunt Mal…
11. Ender Inciarte(Atl – CF) Durham River…
12. Kyle Seager(Sea – 3B) The Cheddar …

Expecting to have to decide between Devers or Beltre, I quickly grab Sano when he is still available in round nine. I had considered Arrieta here but had to fill in my infield. It is just as well as three 3B are drafted afterwards. The Sox get Ohtani the pitcher with an autodraft. Four more closers are grabbed this round. Having been able to wait until round 11 in my mocks before taking my first reliever, I know I will need one soon. I could go for a third SP or with any luck Brad Hand might still be on the board…

 

Round 10
1. Javier Báez(ChC – 2B,SS) The Cheddar …
2. Raisel Iglesias(Cin – RP) Durham River…
3. Luis Castillo(Cin – SP) Cheshunt Mal…
4. Jean Segura(Sea – SS) Batteries Es…
5. Rougned Odor(Tex – 2B) Weston-Super…
6. Trevor Story(Col – SS) Norwich No II
7. Ronald Acuña Jr.(Atl – CF) Mighty Slugs
8. Brad Hand(SD – RP) Newcastle Kn…
9. Kyle Hendricks(ChC – SP) Beckenham A&…
10. Alex Wood(LAD – SP) Orpington Is…
11. Carlos Santana(Phi – 1B,OF) The Bath Bom…
12. Salvador Perez(KC – C) Richie’s RBI’s

… but the Knights scupper that plan. After Hendricks is drafted I opt for Wood, having also been tempted by Smoak and Moustakas and Lester. The Slugs pick Acuna Jr, the top prospect in the game who should not be in the minors for long. A closer is my next priority.

 

Round 11
1. David Price(Bos – SP,RP) Richie’s RBI’s
2. Mike Moustakas(KC – 3B) The Bath Bom…
3. Alex Colomé(TB – RP) Orpington Is…
4. Matt Carpenter(StL – 1B,2B,3B) Beckenham A&…
5. Matt Olson(Oak – 1B,OF) Newcastle Kn…
6. Jon Lester(ChC – SP) Mighty Slugs
7. Rich Hill(LAD – SP) Norwich No II
8. Adam Jones(Bal – CF) Weston-Super…
9. Zack Godley(Ari – SP) Batteries Es…
10. Ian Happ(ChC – 2B,CF) Cheshunt Mal…
11. Greg Bird(NYY – 1B) Durham River…
12. Luke Weaver(StL – SP) The Cheddar …

I reach down the rankings somewhat to get Colome but just could not afford to wait any longer for a closer. The RBIs drafted a Red Sox player in Price while the Maltsters take Happ, who looks in line for regular playing time with the Cubs at the top of their lineup.

 

Round 12
1. Sonny Gray(NYY – SP) The Cheddar …
2. Jay Bruce(NYM – 1B,OF) Durham River…
3. Marwin González(Hou – 1B,2B,3B,SS,OF) Cheshunt Mal…
4. Wade Davis(Col – RP) Batteries Es…
5. Gregory Polanco(Pit – OF) Weston-Super…
6. Nicholas Castellanos(Det – 3B,OF) Norwich No II
7. Garrett Richards(LAA – SP) Mighty Slugs
8. Brandon Morrow(ChC – RP) Newcastle Kn…
9. Kyle Schwarber(ChC – OF) Beckenham A&…
10. J.T. Realmuto(Mia – C,1B) Orpington Is…
11. Ian Desmond(Col – 1B,OF) The Bath Bom…
12. Nomar Mazara(Tex – OF) Richie’s RBI’s

My hopes of getting my second corner infielder reduce with Bruce and Castellano both being drafted in round 12 but it does mean that Realmuto is still there when my turn comes around. I don’t normally like taking a catcher this early but JT is an exception to my rule. Plus, with Zimmerman, Lamb and Smoak still available for my next pick soon afterwards, I would have to be really unlucky for all of them to be drafted.

 

Round 13
1. Dellin Betances(NYY – RP) Richie’s RBI’s
2. Héctor Neris(Phi – RP) The Bath Bom…
3. Ryan Zimmerman(Was – 1B) Orpington Is…
4. Justin Smoak(Tor – 1B) Beckenham A&…
5. Johnny Cueto(SF – SP) Newcastle Kn…
6. Paul DeJong(StL – 2B,SS) Mighty Slugs
7. Jeff Samardzija(SF – SP) Norwich No II
8. Arodys Vizcaíno(Atl – RP) Weston-Super…
9. Danny Duffy(KC – SP) Batteries Es…
10. Trevor Bauer(Cle – SP) Cheshunt Mal…
11. Anthony Swarzak(NYM – RP) Durham River…
12. Adam Duvall(Cin – OF) The Cheddar …

Finally my corner infield is filled as I hover between Smoak and Zimmerman before choosing the latter. Smoak goes the very next pick. I start thinking ahead for my second closer, which would prove to be a very tough call. Neris and Vizcaino are taken this round, so would my other options still be around?

 

Round 14
1. Jameson Taillon(Pit – SP) The Cheddar …
2. Yoán Moncada(CWS – 2B) Durham River…
3. Gio González(Was – SP) Cheshunt Mal…
4. Kelvin Herrera(KC – RP) Batteries Es…
5. Jeurys Familia(NYM – RP) Weston-Super…
6. Eddie Rosario(Min – CF) Norwich No II
7. Michael Conforto(NYM – CF) Mighty Slugs
8. Jon Gray(Col – SP) Newcastle Kn…
9. Marcus Stroman(Tor – SP) Beckenham A&…
10. Fernando Rodney(Min – RP) Orpington Is…
11. Manuel Margot(SD – CF) The Bath Bom…
12. Delino DeShields(Tex – CF) Richie’s RBI’s

In a word, no. Having hoped for Herrera or Familia, it is a real blow when they go in consecutive picks. I’m left with a choice between Rodney and Bradley, who has not yet been named the Arizona closer. Rodney’s ERA is high, his WHIP is OK, but can he be trusted to hold the job with the Twins?

I reluctantly take Rodney with the aim of backing him up with Addison Reed if I can later in the draft. But I still need to fill out my rotation before thinking about set-up relievers. Some interesting picks in this round which could really pay dividends are Riverkings going for Moncada, Norwich taking Rosario and the Slugs backing Conforto to recover from injury. If I hadn’t already filled my OF, I would have been very tempted to do the same given the chance.

 

Round 15
1. Mike Clevinger(Cle – SP,RP) Richie’s RBI’s
2. Cole Hamels(Tex – SP) The Bath Bom…
3. Kenta Maeda(LAD – SP) Orpington Is…
4. Archie Bradley(Ari – RP) Beckenham A&…
5. Kevin Kiermaier(TB – CF) Newcastle Kn…
6. Kevin Gausman(Bal – SP) Mighty Slugs
7. Chase Anderson(Mil – SP) Norwich No II
8. Evan Gattis(Hou – C) Weston-Super…
9. Wilson Ramos(TB – C) Batteries Es…
10. Mike Zunino(Sea – C) Cheshunt Mal…
11. Blake Snell(TB – SP) Durham River…
12. Blake Treinen(Oak – RP) The Cheddar …

With the Bombers taking Hamels, I opt for Maeda as my fourth starter with Bradley going the next pick. I really like the Kiermaier pick for the Knights here, a really underrated player with power and speed who just needs to avoid injury. Three catchers go in a row.

 

Round 16
1. Brad Brach(Bal – RP) The Cheddar …
2. Carl Edwards Jr.(ChC – RP) Durham River…
3. Ryan Madson(Was – RP) Cheshunt Mal…
4. Brett Gardner(NYY – CF) Batteries Es…
5. Jake Lamb(Ari – 3B) Weston-Super…
6. Mark Melancon(SF – RP) Norwich No II
7. David Robertson(NYY – RP) Mighty Slugs
8. Cam Bedrosian(LAA – RP) Newcastle Kn…
9. Danny Salazar(Cle – SP) Beckenham A&…
10. Charlie Morton(Hou – SP) Orpington Is…
11. Bradley Zimmer(Cle – CF) The Bath Bom…
12. Tyler Chatwood(ChC – SP,RP) Richie’s RBI’s

Half of this round is dominated by relievers and as much as I am tempted to join the party and grab Reed here I decide that the rotation must come first with Morton. Zimmer is a nice pick for the Bombers as he was looking impressive before his injury last year.

 

Round 17
1. Aaron Sanchez(Tor – SP) Richie’s RBI’s
2. Addison Reed(Min – RP) The Bath Bom…
3. Taijuan Walker(Ari – SP) Orpington Is…
4. Dinelson Lamet(SD – SP) Beckenham A&…
5. Michael Wacha(StL – SP) Newcastle Kn…
6. Jake Faria(TB – SP) Mighty Slugs
7. Josh Hader(Mil – RP) Norwich No II
8. Ian Kinsler(LAA – 2B) Weston-Super…
9. Evan Longoria(SF – 3B) Batteries Es…
10. Michael Fulmer(Det – SP) Cheshunt Mal…
11. Trey Mancini(Bal – 1B,OF) Durham River…
12. Brad Ziegler(Mia – RP) The Cheddar …

A disastrous start to this round for my team as Sanchez, my next SP target, is nabbed by the RBIs and the Bombers take Reed next. After a series of curses, I consider Fulmer but opt for Walker. That leaves me with three picks left, and I need two set-up relievers and a bench bat.

 

Round 18
1. Jacob Barnes(Mil – RP) The Cheddar …
2. Lucas Giolito(CWS – SP) Durham River…
3. Dylan Bundy(Bal – SP) Cheshunt Mal…
4. Josh Bell(Pit – 1B) Batteries Es…
5. Chris Davis(Bal – 1B) Weston-Super…
6. Jordan Montgomery(NYY – SP) Norwich No II
7. Keone Kela(Tex – RP) Mighty Slugs
8. Eduardo Núñez(Bos – 2B,3B,SS,OF) Newcastle Kn…
9. Drew Pomeranz(Bos – SP) Beckenham A&…
10. Luke Gregerson(StL – RP) Orpington Is…
11. Ozzie Albies(Atl – 2B) The Bath Bom…
12. Scooter Gennett(Cin – 2B,3B,OF) Richie’s RBI’s

This round leaves me torn between taking a holds option or adding an extra closer. Not having much faith in Rodney, should I take Gregerson for extra saves (for the time being, at least) or is that just making things worse? I bite the bullet and take Gregerson, knowing that if he is replaced as Cardinals closer I will need to act quickly. I like the Bell autopick for Batteries Essential here, as he looks capable of improving his power numbers in the middle of the Pirates new-look lineup.

 

Round 19
1. Adam Eaton(Was – CF) Richie’s RBI’s
2. Blake Parker(LAA – RP) The Bath Bom…
3. Chris Devenski(Hou – RP) Orpington Is…
4. Rick Porcello(Bos – SP) Beckenham A&…
5. Kyle Barraclough(Mia – RP) Newcastle Kn…
6. Jedd Gyorko(StL – 1B,2B,3B) Mighty Slugs
7. Welington Castillo(CWS – C) Norwich No II
8. Justin Bour(Mia – 1B) Weston-Super…
9. Steven Souza Jr.(Ari – OF) Batteries Es…
10. Brad Peacock(Hou – SP,RP) Cheshunt Mal…
11. Yadier Molina(StL – C) Durham River…
12. Scott Schebler(Cin – CF) The Cheddar …

With my penultimate pick, I opt for Devenski to give me some holds and strikeouts. There are still some other pitchers I have in my queue for my final pick, but I will need a bench bat of some description. I add Gyorko to my queue only for the Slugs to draft him almost instantly. Batteries Essential get some nice late-round power and speed from Souza.

 

Round 20
1. Lance Lynn(Min – SP) The Cheddar …
2. Sean Manaea(Oak – SP) Durham River…
3. Burch Smith(KC – SP,RP) Cheshunt Mal…
4. Odúbel Herrera(Phi – CF) Batteries Es…
5. Dexter Fowler(StL – CF) Weston-Super…
6. A.J. Minter(Atl – RP) Norwich No II
7. Alex Cobb(Bal – SP) Mighty Slugs
8. Yasmani Grandal(LAD – C) Newcastle Kn…
9. Brian McCann(Hou – C) Beckenham A&…
10. Eugenio Suárez(Cin – 3B) Orpington Is…
11. Carlos González(Col – OF) The Bath Bom…
12. Asdrúbal Cabrera(NYM – 2B,3B,SS) Richie’s RBI’s

It’s hard to know what to do with my last pick. Do you go for flexibility with someone you can plug into multiple positions or do you go for the best player available? In the end, I go for Suarez’s power at 3B, which could be handy if Sano is suspended after assault allegations. I like the Lynn pick here for the Chasers as I believe he will thrive being a year removed from his injury, pitching in a spacious stadium and with a very athletic defense behind him.

Getting Cobb this late is nice work by the Slugs while the Knights and A&E Dept prove you really can leave taking a catcher to the end and get a decent option. As the RBIs take Cabrera, the draft is done in a little over 90 minutes.

Team summaries

RBIs: Lots of power, decent speed but average may be an issue. Top three in rotation are good. Just one closer and one set-up reliever. May need to reduce number of bench hitters.

Bombers: Good power, decent offense across the board. Like the starters and bullpen but may need an extra arm or two.

Isotopes: Very happy with the offense and the rotation’s pretty strong. Bullpen after Colome is a concern though.

A&E Dept: Power and speed shouldn’t be a problem but a few low average hitters. Very good pitching depth, quality rotation and two good closers.

Knights: Lots of speed and power. If Machado’s average rebounds and Pollock stays fit, look out. Very solid pitching staff with good rotation depth.

Slugs: Takes full advantage of Rizzo’s 2B eligibility. Lacking a .300 hitter unless Cabrera rebounds. Plenty of power but not much speed. Rotation decent but only one closer.

Norwich: Stacked with power but could use Story and Davis lifting their averages. Not much speed. Two good closers but rotation lacking genuine ace.

Sox: Considering it was an autodraft, not too bad. Surplus of bench hitters could be used as trade bait. Powerful infield and just enough speed. Pitching staff high on quality with great 1-2 punch in Kershaw and deGrom plus two closers. Need extra arms though.

Batteries Essential: Another autodraft. Should hit well for average plus nice power/speed combo in the outfield. Pitching staff has good quality SP and two closers. Needs set-up relievers and extra SPs though. Surplus hitters as trade bait?

Maltsters: Five .300+ hitters in a well-balanced offense. May have the best bullpen in the league but rotation is lacking a genuine ace.

Riverkings: Youthful team banking could be boosted further with good years from Bird and Moncada. Just one .300 hitter and one 30+ HR hitter. Young back of rotation could go either way.

Chasers: Powerful infield and could be tough to beat in steals. Rotation is decent. Not many big names in the bullpen but could still be effective.

The week one matchups, running from March 29 to Apr 8 are:

Isotopes v Batteries Essential

A&E Dept v Chasers

Maltsters v Bombers

Riverkings v RBIs

Slugs v Norwich

Knights v Sox

Red Sox and Yankees heading to London in 2019?

As you likely would have already seen, Bloomberg and other US news outlets reported late on Monday that plans are close to being agreed for the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees to play two games at the London Olympic Stadium next year.

The news isn’t really a surprise. Back in December 2016 it was being reported that the Red Sox and Yankees were two of teams that were most involved in plans to come across to London, with senior figures being quoted about this potentially leading to the two teams bringing their rivalry to the UK.

At the time it looked more likely that the two teams would come across separately – with London games on the provisional list for 2020 too – and that they would face a team such as the Tampa Bay Rays for whom losing a couple of home games would be less of a high profile issue.

Instead, it does now look like the Red Sox and Yankees will face each other after all if the logistics can be figured out and games are staged here next year.

That would be great news for us to have two of the marquee teams coming across and is a statement of intent from MLB that they are serious in getting as much publicity out of the games as possible. So from our perspective – other than a bit of disappointment if you support one of the other 28 teams – that’s exciting.

General reaction among U.S. Red Sox and Yankee fans has not been as kind to the news though and that’s a good reminder that for this to really work, it has to be something that works on both sides of the Atlantic.

Ten years ago the Premier League floated the idea of taking games to foreign shores by introducing a 39th game, knowing that the prospect of taking away one of a team’s existing 19 home games would have been strongly opposed. Even that concession was not enough to prevent a torrent of criticism that resulted in the plans being shelved.

Fans in the States have no great reason to care about expanding MLB into Europe, much as it makes such a difference to us. If it effects their enjoyment of watching their team then they’re not going to like the idea regardless of the wider benefits to baseball.

MLB teams play 162 games in a season so you could argue staging a couple in another country shouldn’t make much difference, but taking away two of the 19 contests between the Red Sox and Yankees is bound to create negativity among some of their fans. You’d imagine it would involve both teams giving up a home game (some reports are now claiming that actually they will both be Boston home games) and so fans at Fenway Park and Yankee Stadium would have to accept they’ll get eight home games against their bitter rival rather than nine.

The bigger issue is how it could affect the teams when it comes to fitting the games into their schedule and any fall-out from this (or assumed fall-out) on their regular season campaigns.  A follow-up from NY Post’s Joel Sherman made the point that there are still plenty of logistical matters to be worked out.

The problem is that playing games at the end of Spring Training, as MLB has done with series in Japan and Australia, isn’t a great option thanks to the likelihood that British weather won’t be baseball weather at the end of March.

The obvious solution is to play a series at one side of the All-Star break in July as that would make it easier to build in the travel to the schedule; however that doesn’t appear to be an option that would fit in with other plans for the Olympic Stadium.  June is the provisional month on the cards and it’s going to be interesting to see how they make that work.

Thinking it through, the least amount of off-days needed probably would be two: a day-game in the States on Thursday, arrive into the UK on Friday morning for a day off, play games on Saturday and Sunday then a travel day on Monday to head back to play their next game on Tuesday night. Even that would be a tight turnaround with the time difference factored in, so you’d maybe need a doubleheader in there too (the Wednesday before so they arrive into the UK on Thursday, or the Wednesday after so they don’t have to play on the Tuesday night when they return).

For players who like to stick to their routines, and fans used to watching their team playing pretty much every day, that’s going to be a major talking point and one that MLB will need to be mindful of, communicating the plan on how to make it work and the benefits of the trip.

The New York Mets are the other team who have been most closely linked with playing in the UK, not least when London Mayor Sadiq Khan threw at the ceremonial first pitch at Citi Field last year. If the 2019 games do go ahead and work well, the smart money would be on Mets vs Nationals or Phillies for 2020 (I’d guess giving up homes games at newish publicly-funded ballparks would be an issue for the Braves and Marlins, although you can never count anything out with Miami).

We’re getting ahead of ourselves there though. It hasn’t officially been confirmed that games will be played in London in 2019, let alone 2020, but all signs are pointing to the Red Sox and Yankees taking to a diamond in London next June.

Weekly Hit Ground Ball: Real-life injuries being a fantasy nightmare

At this time of year, most baseball fans are thinking about their fantasy team rosters as much as the General Managers of real-life MLB teams are thinking about theirs.

Whether it’s a dynasty competition, you’ve already completed a draft already or have one or more to come, there’s lots to consider and Spring Training has a habit of adding a large dollop of confusion into the mix.

My main fantasy competition, the BGB Fantasy League, has its draft this coming week.  I’ve done some mock drafts in preparation and have a good idea of players that I think offer value – and just as importantly ones who I don’t – yet if there’s one thing that you can never fully be on top of it’s this: injuries.

Injuries are a constant source of concern because nobody can truly tell if somebody is about to be out of action. There may be signs in some cases – a loss of velocity by a pitcher, perhaps – but one throw, one swing, one stride can turn a seemingly perfectly healthy player into a Disabled List statistic.

And Spring Training makes that process even more difficult. Everything is geared towards the regular season, so teams understandably are very cautious about any signs of trouble. A slight hamstring tweak that wouldn’t be acknowledged at all when real games are at stake may become a news item and a precursor for a few days’ rest in spring.  What should we brush aside as inconsequential, or start fretting about as an issue that may linger?

Often, none of us can be completely sure.

Certainty can often be seen as a good thing; however in fantasy baseball terms that depends on your competition and draft date.

Just yesterday a potential injury was confirmed as it was announced that Oakland A’s pitcher Jharel Cotton will undergo Tommy John elbow surgery. In fantasy terms, Cotton wouldn’t have figured too highly on draft lists outside of deeper AL-only leagues and I’m using this example more with my A’s hat on (the fact that I wasn’t sure quite what performance he would bring this season doesn’t alter me being gutted that ‘Squeaky’ faces over a year out).  Even so, fantasy owners know he’s out of the equation and can plan around that.=, provided they haven’t used a draft pick on the player already.

With other players, you’re not quite so sure.

The Arizona Diamondbacks’ Zack Greinke made an early exit from his start on Wednesday due to tightness in his right groin.  A leg injury is much less of a concern for a pitcher than an elbow or shoulder problem, and most things point to this being a minor issue, yet Greinke had expressed self-doubts on how he was feeling prior to that start. Maybe it will prove to be more of a problem than first thought?

The same could be said for the Washington Nationals’ Daniel Murphy. He underwent knee surgery in October and at that point no one really thought much of it. He we are on 18 March and whilst he has been taking batting practice and doing some light fielding work, he still hasn’t played a Spring Training game and doesn’t look likely to anytime soon.

Although the Nationals haven’t completely ruled him out for Opening Day, it now has to be a long shot that he’ll be ready in time.

Context is key here and that’s something that can be easily ignored at fantasy draft time. Washington are looking at October and competing for a World Series and whilst they would like to see Murphy out there on Opening Day, it doesn’t really matter if he’s not. Whether it’s a few days or a few weeks, they have enough options to cover the infield early in the season to allow Murphy to take his time with his recovery. The very last thing the Nationals want to happen is to rush Murphy back and then see him break down again.

Any fantasy baseball player from 2017 will know that a cautious approach by MLB teams is now much more likely given the rule change to reduce the minimum Disabled List period down from 15 to 10. The LA Dodgers were one of the more creative users of this last year (other people may find others words to describe it) to give players – pitchers in particular – a bit of rest here and there over the course of the season. I know some fantasy league ‘commissioners’ have changed their Disabled List settings this year as a result where previously there were small limits on how many players you could DL.

One of the many nuggets you will find in the Ron Shandler 2018 Baseball Forecaster is that 58 per cent of the Top 300 drafted players were either disabled, demoted or designated for assignment at some point in the 2017 season. As Shandler puts it:

“Little did you know last March that nearly six out of every 10 players you drafted would be disabled, demoted or DFA’d by year’s end”.

It’s not a case of if injuries or other issues will hit your roster, either real-life or fantasy, but when.  As we scour the Spring Training news for injury updates we all do so knowing that the best we can do is take the latest information then make our educated guesses as to who we may be able to count on and plan for what we may do if a key player goes down.

The only thing we can do is make sure we’ve got the latest injury info to hand when we’re drafting. Injuries are always bad luck for a fantasy owner except for when you make a draft decision not realising that there was a concern about their fitness.

I’m a casual fantasy baseball player so generally don’t feel in a position to offer too much advice to others, but if there’s one bit I can give you it’s to find your favourite fantasy injury news sections, even just the MLB.com one, and make sure it’s accessible when you’re drafting. I’ve made my share of mistakes in the virtual draft room over the years, but this is one I haven’t made and don’t ever intend to.

Spring arrives in Herts (spring weather not guaranteed)

We’re all used to the haphazard nature of the ‘Great’ British weather.  Two weekends ago many of us were battling with snow, last weekend was relatively mild for most, and the forecast for this coming weekend for some parts of the country is to revert back to freezing temperatures.

Such conditions rarely blunt the enthusiasm of those in British baseball and this will be put on show this weekend as the Herts Spring League gets underway.

Grovehill ballpark in Hemel Hempstead has been the home of the HSL since 2008, providing an opportunity for teams to get some game practice under their belts before their league campaigns begin in April.

This year’s edition includes 19 teams from different league levels and age groups. Foremost among them will be the Birmingham Bandits who are stepping up into the top-tier of British baseball: the National Baseball League.  As with MLB Spring Training, we should not draw any conclusions from the stats and game results at this time of year, but it will still be interesting to see the Bandits going up against some of their NBL competitors.

One big question has been raised on Twitter in the lead up to this year’s event: what should the league be called? Florida’s league is represented by a grapefruit and Arizona’s by a cactus, so the search is on to find a suitable Herts-related item to name the league after. The Watercress League, Chalk League and Cereal League are among those that have already been thrown into the virtual hat. Send suggestions Herts’ way via Twitter.

There are 41 games scheduled over the next three weekends, so there will be plenty of opportunities for those in the local area to catch some baseball action. Check the weather forecast to see if you need woolly hat, scarf and gloves or a jacket and some suntan lotion.

Thank You For the A’s: Ode to Lucroy

It appeared that the Oakland A’s had made all of their moves this offseason, but the addition of catcher Jonathan Lucroy has given the team a mid-Spring Training boost.

This time last year we had Stephen Vogt as the main catcher with Bruce Maxwell and Josh Phegley competing for the back-up role.

After Vogt was DFA’d in June, neither Maxwell nor Phegley stepped up to claim the starting position, yet it looked like the A’s would go again with that duo to see if one or both could take a step forward at the second time of asking.

Lucroy’s disappointing 2017 campaign came at the worst time for him as he headed into the off-season as a free agent who, just 2 years before, was seen by many as one of the best all-round catchers in the Majors. Add that to the strange free agent market this winter and it meant that rather than signing a lucrative multi-year deal, Lucroy was left waiting to sign whatever decent offer he could get.

That’s worked out well for the A’s. Although both Lucroy’s offensive and defensive numbers went backwards last year, it would be a surprise if that’s a conclusive sign of terminal decline. There’s still plenty of talent there and, given that it’s just a one-year, $6.5m deal, well worth the A’s taking the risk that he will bounce back.

If he does then we shouldn’t be too surprised if he’s playing for another team come August. As with the Rich Hill deal a couple of seasons ago, the second-best plan (after the A’s mounting a surprising challenge at the top of the AL West) would be for Lucroy to give us three good months or so and then be traded away to add another prospect or two into the system.

The initial suggestion is that Maxwell may be the odd man out. Maybe the idea is they want him to get more work in and that will be easier done in Triple-A rather than occasional starts in the Majors, but it would leave the A’s with two right-handed catchers and Phegley may find his chances to start against lefties take a hit, so we’ll have to wait and see how that pans out.

I’ve written an A’s season preview for Bush League Ramble, which should be published later this week, and within that I note that it’s a shame there wasn’t a decent starting pitcher option on the market this winter to add a veteran presence to the A’s rotation. Signing a good catcher is the next best thing.

The advanced stats, such as pitch framing, showed Lucroy took a big backward step last year after previously having a very positive reputation behind the dish. To fall off so dramatically seems odd, making me think there is more to the story, possibly an undisclosed injury, which would provide an explanation.

If Lucroy can get his catching back on track then that should be a big help to the starting rotation that as a group – so far this spring – has not pitched as well as they would have liked.

I backed Lucroy last year by adding him to my main fantasy team. Hopefully this year he’ll show that my confidence was well-founded, if one year too early (or late, depending how you want to look at it)

Patience (AKA calm the Puk down)

The pitcher who has impressed the most this off-season is top prospect A.J. Puk. His three appearancse so far have shown the rich talent he possesses and it’s making some A’s fans impatient to see him on the Big League team.

His potential importance to the A’s future means that I wouldn’t want to see him rushed up. His 2017 season had much to admire about it, yet it also showed there were some rough edges to smooth off, not least improving his command and getting his walks down.

Eight Spring Training innings don’t change that picture. Let him work on his craft for a few months in Nashville, managing his innings pitched along the way, to give him the best chance of staying up when he’s finally brought up.

Chapman clout

Matt Chapman’s had a slightly disrupted Spring, so it was enjoyable to listen to him make his first hit a home run at Hohokam on Sunday against the Cubs.

One of the reasons I still like listening to ball games is the couple of seconds of suspense when you know the ball’s flying, but can’t judge just how far until the crowd and commentator tell you. Donny Baarns has done an excellent job once again providing additional radio coverage on MLB.com for select A’s games this spring and he called that one perfectly, even if the crowd reaction was mixed with so many Cubs fans on hand at their old Spring Training home.